For Friday night's USA v Paraguay match, Antonio Sanabria is listed at +950 to score the first goal — shown as a US$950 payout on a $100 bet — and at +370 to score anytime.
Those prices sit alongside Christian Pulisic and Folarin Balogun, both at +600 for first-goalscorer, while Brenden Aaronson shares Sanabria’s +950 tag for first goal. No Goalscorer is priced at +700. For anytime goalscorer markets Pulisic and Balogun are both listed at +230, Aaronson at +380, and Sanabria at +370; the markets shown are for the 90 minutes plus any injury time only.
The concrete numbers matter because they frame how bettors value a matchup in which Sanabria remains Paraguay’s most recognizable striker even as his club scoring has dropped since his best season. He scored 12 Serie A goals for Torino in 2022-23, then just 2 league goals in 2024-25 and a single league goal for Cremonese in 2025-26.
That gap between profile and form is the table’s tension. The market is offering long odds on Sanabria to open the scoring — and shorter, but still sizeable, odds for an anytime strike — despite a clear decline in his club output after 2022-23. Bettors weighing a Sanabria wager are buying a reputation that the recent numbers complicate.
Practical details before kickoff: the +950 first-goalscorer price is displayed as a US$950 return on a $100 stake; the anytime tag is listed at +370 and the same set of markets excludes extra time and shootouts. Those structural rules matter because a starter with limited minutes is worth a different bet than one likely to play the full 90.
How the United States attack is priced sharpens the matchup. Pulisic and Balogun, both shorter-priced for anytime goals, are the market’s expectation for the U.S. threat; Aaronson’s matching +950 first-goalscorer number marks him as an alternative longshot at kickoff. The No Goalscorer line at +700 shows the market is also pricing a realistic chance of a scoreless result inside 90 minutes.
The decisive operational question before teams name lineups is straightforward and consequential: will Sanabria start and play enough minutes to realistically challenge those prices? If he does, a +950 first-goal payout becomes a bet on opportunity as well as touch; if he doesn’t, the payout is purely speculative on a late cameo or set-piece bounce.
Friday’s kickoff is the next hard event. Bettors and Paraguay supporters who prize Sanabria’s recognizability must now track starting XI announcements and early substitutions — that certainty about minutes is the single variable that will determine whether those pregame odds are a value bet or a headline price.
