NFL Betting Tips: Top Courtland Sutton Prop Bets for AFC Championship

Casey Halston

Published: January 25, 2026 4:07 PM ET

The AFC Championship pits the New England Patriots against the Denver Broncos on January 25. The game is set to kickoff at 3 p.m. ET. As both teams prepare for this crucial matchup, attention turns to key player performance, particularly Courtland Sutton’s prop bets. With the Patriots favored by 4.5 points and a moneyline of -238, the circumstances point towards a defensive battle.

NFL Betting Tips: Top Courtland Sutton Prop Bets for AFC Championship

As the Broncos face a challenging situation, Sutton remains a pivotal figure on their offense. The absence of starting quarterback Bo Nix, due to a fractured ankle, unleashes concerns about their aerial game. Jarrett Stidham, who will take the helm, last played in 2023, marking a significant adjustment for Sutton and the rest of the team.

Injury Report Insights

Bo Nix is out for the season with an ankle injury.
Jarrett Stidham steps in as the starting quarterback.
Patriots’ corners Christian Gonzalez and Carlton Davis are cleared to play.

Gonzalez, known for his effective coverage, will likely shadow Sutton throughout the game. This matchup presents difficulties for Sutton, who recently received nine targets but struggles to establish chemistry with his new quarterback. In their last game together, Sutton and Stidham connected for only two yards on one pass. This inadequate history raises further doubts about Sutton’s potential performance.

Weather Conditions

The weather in Denver adds another layer of complexity to Sutton’s prospects. With kickoff temperatures expected to hover around 22 degrees and snow in the forecast, both teams will face challenging conditions. Although Sutton is accustomed to cold weather, adverse conditions could hinder offensive production.

Prop Bet Recommendations

Given the various factors at play, including the quarterback downgrade and a tough secondary, betting on Sutton may not yield favorable outcomes. The recommendation is to consider the following prop bets:

Under 4.5 Receptions
Under 46.5 Receiving Yards

These bets reflect concerns about Sutton’s ability to break through the Patriots’ defense in a high-pressure playoff scenario.

As the AFC Championship approaches, the stakes are high. Both teams will need to adapt, and for Sutton, making an impact against a formidable Patriots team will be crucial. Bettors should carefully consider these dynamics before placing their wagers.