Sweeny vs. Monfils: 2026 Australian Open Prediction, Odds & Match Preview
In an exciting matchup at the 2026 Australian Open, Dane Sweeny faces Gael Monfils in the Round of 128. This contest features the 182nd-ranked Sweeny against the higher-ranked Monfils, currently at 110. The match will occur on Sunday, January 18, with Sweeny’s odds of +125 compared to Monfils’ odds of -160.
Match Details
- Tournament: Australian Open
- Round: Round of 128
- Date: January 18, 2026
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Fubo
- Court Surface: Hard
Betting Odds and Predictions
The betting odds favor Monfils to advance in the tournament. His current odds indicate he has a 61.5% chance of winning against Sweeny. Meanwhile, Sweeny’s odds suggest a potential upset is possible.
Recent Performance
Sweeny has shown promising form on hard courts over the past year. He holds a 5-1 record in two hard-court tournaments. Notably, he has won 75.4% of his service games.
- Return Game Win Probability: 40%
- Break Points Won: 41.2% (21 of 51)
However, Sweeny recently lost to Reilly Opelka in the Brisbane International, falling 3-6, 5-7 on January 5.
In contrast, Gael Monfils has not secured a title on hard courts in the last year, with a disheartening 6-9 record. His performance metrics reveal a high service game win percentage of 78.7%, yet his return game win percentage stands at only 18.9%.
- Break Point Win Percentage: 33% (34 of 103)
Monfils faced defeat against Fabian Marozsan in the Round of 32 at the ASB Classic on January 13, losing in three sets: 7-5, 3-6, 4-6.
Conclusion
This match presents an intriguing contest between Sweeny’s rising potential and Monfils’ experience. Fans can catch the action live on ESPN+ and stream it via Fubo. With both players seeking redemption, the outcome remains uncertain, making it a must-watch event at the 2026 Australian Open.