Sweeny vs. Monfils: 2026 Australian Open Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

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Sweeny vs. Monfils: 2026 Australian Open Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

In an exciting matchup at the 2026 Australian Open, Dane Sweeny faces Gael Monfils in the Round of 128. This contest features the 182nd-ranked Sweeny against the higher-ranked Monfils, currently at 110. The match will occur on Sunday, January 18, with Sweeny’s odds of +125 compared to Monfils’ odds of -160.

Match Details

  • Tournament: Australian Open
  • Round: Round of 128
  • Date: January 18, 2026
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Fubo
  • Court Surface: Hard

Betting Odds and Predictions

The betting odds favor Monfils to advance in the tournament. His current odds indicate he has a 61.5% chance of winning against Sweeny. Meanwhile, Sweeny’s odds suggest a potential upset is possible.

Recent Performance

Sweeny has shown promising form on hard courts over the past year. He holds a 5-1 record in two hard-court tournaments. Notably, he has won 75.4% of his service games.

  • Return Game Win Probability: 40%
  • Break Points Won: 41.2% (21 of 51)

However, Sweeny recently lost to Reilly Opelka in the Brisbane International, falling 3-6, 5-7 on January 5.

In contrast, Gael Monfils has not secured a title on hard courts in the last year, with a disheartening 6-9 record. His performance metrics reveal a high service game win percentage of 78.7%, yet his return game win percentage stands at only 18.9%.

  • Break Point Win Percentage: 33% (34 of 103)

Monfils faced defeat against Fabian Marozsan in the Round of 32 at the ASB Classic on January 13, losing in three sets: 7-5, 3-6, 4-6.

Conclusion

This match presents an intriguing contest between Sweeny’s rising potential and Monfils’ experience. Fans can catch the action live on ESPN+ and stream it via Fubo. With both players seeking redemption, the outcome remains uncertain, making it a must-watch event at the 2026 Australian Open.