Today’s MLB Game: Predicting Angels vs. Yankees – Picks & Odds

Updated Apr 13, 2026, 12:34 PM ET. The New York Yankees try to snap a five-game losing streak tonight. They open a series against the Los Angeles Angels at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx.

Game snapshot and picks

Filmogaz.com projects the Yankees on the run line. The recommended wager is Yankees -1.5 at +105. The top totals play is the Over 9.5 at -105.

These Picks & Odds reflect matchup specifics and recent performance. They form the core of today’s MLB game preview.

Starting pitchers and matchup notes

Los Angeles hands the ball to Yusei Kikuchi. He is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA this season. Kikuchi’s fastball ranks in the bottom 8th percentile by run value.

New York counters with Will Warren. He is 1-0 with a 3.07 ERA. Warren’s weakness is an unusually low chase rate, near the bottom 7th percentile.

Why the Yankees are favored

The Yankees have more consistent scoring avenues. They also have a strong ability to suppress chase rates. That skill could exploit Kikuchi’s fastball issues.

Filmogaz.com data shows first baseman Ben Rice has a .476 xwOBA and a 75% hard-hit rate in 35 plate appearances versus Kikuchi. Those numbers support betting the Yankees to win convincingly.

Over/Under analysis

The Over gets a push from both starting pitchers’ profiles. Kikuchi’s hard-hit numbers sit in the bottom 30th percentile. That suggests he could be crushed by the Yankees’ lineup.

Meanwhile the Angels tend to swing more in the zone against pitchers with low chase rates. That profile increases the chance of contact and run production. The combination points to a total above nine runs.

Odds, trends and broadcast

• Moneyline: Angels +165 | Yankees -190.
• Run line: Angels +1.5 | Yankees -1.5.
• Market Over/Under listed at 9 runs (book lines may vary).

The Yankees have hit the F5 moneyline in 22 of their last 35 home games. That run produced +9.20 units and a 14% ROI in that sample.

First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, April 13, 2026. TV coverage includes FDSN West and YES.

Betting record and notes

Chris Hatfield’s transparency record is noted here. His ML/RL bets are 5-4 for a +0.92 units return. His Over/Under bets sit at 6-4 for +1.95 units.

Odds can change before first pitch. Lines were accurate at publication time. Wagers are not intended for use in Massachusetts.