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HONG KONG, April 2 — U.S. President Donald Trump pledged more aggressive strikes on Iran over the next two to three weeks. He gave no firm timeline to end the conflict. Markets reacted quickly to his comments.
Market reaction and safe-haven flows
Investor demand for safety sent the dollar higher across major currencies. Dollar rises as traders exited risk assets and sought liquidity.
The dollar index climbed almost 0.5% to reclaim the 100 level. That move erased most of the greenback’s earlier two-day losses.
Foreign exchange moves
Risk-sensitive currencies fell against the greenback. The euro traded around $1.1537 and the pound near $1.3233, both down roughly 0.5%.
The Australian dollar stood near $0.6878 and the New Zealand dollar near $0.5709. Both were about 0.7% weaker and close to two-month lows.
The Japanese yen weakened about 0.4% to 159.375. It remained short of the 160 level widely viewed as a trigger for official intervention.
Dollar strength across asset classes
Dollar grows while stocks fell and oil jumped. Brent futures rose more than 6% toward $110 per barrel.
Higher energy prices pushed U.S. Treasury yields up in Asian trade. That raised fresh concerns about inflation and potential policy pressure.
U.S. jobs data and economic risks
Attention now turns to Friday’s U.S. non-farm payrolls report. Economists’ median forecast calls for a 60,000 rise in March jobs.
Analysts warn a weaker-than-expected print could amplify market volatility. Kyle Rodda of Capital.com said another miss could intensify stagflation fears.
Commentary from strategists
- Carol Kong, currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said markets may now expect further escalation before any de-escalation.
- She added the dollar could rise further as economic growth slows from higher energy costs.
Near-term outlook
Traders face a tense week going into the Easter long weekend. The combination of geopolitical risk and looming U.S. data suggests extra choppiness.
Filmogaz.com reporting by Jiaxing Li in Hong Kong. Editing by Shri Navaratnam, Thomas Derpinghaus and Stephen Coates.