Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: Expert Predictions and Picks for Feb 27, 2026

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: Expert Predictions and Picks for Feb 27, 2026

The upcoming matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Dallas Mavericks on February 27, 2026, is generating considerable interest. Both teams are currently struggling in their respective Western Conference standings, each vying to improve their playoff positions.

Matchup Overview: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks

This contest will tip off at 8:40 p.m. ET in Dallas. The Grizzlies have been having a challenging season, with only six wins in their last 26 games. They are currently aiming to rebuild after trading Jaren Jackson Jr. and attempting to deal Ja Morant. Meanwhile, the Mavericks, who are looking to support their 2025 first overall pick, Cooper Flagg, have also faced difficulties, notably going a month without a victory.

Injury Reports

Injuries will significantly influence the game. Key players absent for the Grizzlies include:

  • Santi Aldama (knee)
  • Kyle Anderson (personal reasons)
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (finger)
  • Brandon Clarke (calf)
  • Cedric Coward (knee)
  • Zach Edey (ankle)
  • Ja Morant (elbow)

The Mavericks will be missing:

  • Cooper Flagg (foot)
  • Marvin Bagley III (neck)

Additionally, Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, and Klay Thompson are all listed as doubtful.

Current Betting Lines

DraftKings Sportsbook has set the Mavericks as 3.5-point favorites, with a Moneyline of -170. The Grizzlies are at +142 on the Moneyline, and the point total is listed at 238.5.

Recent Performance Analysis

The Grizzlies’ recent performance has been disappointing, particularly as they struggle to maintain a healthy roster. They are currently facing one of the poorest records in the league, exacerbated by a lack of depth. Their offense has struggled to convert at the rim effectively, ranking among the lowest in terms of percentage.

On the other hand, while the Mavericks are not in peak form, some players have begun to step up. Flagg, before his injury, was averaging 32 points and 7.7 rebounds per game. Naji Marshall and Max Christie have also shown promise, demonstrating their potential as reliable options moving forward.

Prediction and Betting Strategy

Given both teams’ challenges, this matchup presents uncertainties. The Grizzlies could leverage their transition play and the Mavericks’ defensive weaknesses, particularly in allowing three-point shots. However, the absence of key players on both sides complicates predictions.

  • Memphis struggles to finish at the rim and protect the basket.
  • Dallas may benefit from its free-throw differential.
  • Both teams are inconsistent, making a clear prediction difficult.

Despite Memphis’s injuries, their hustle and transitional speed may give them an edge. A safe betting option could be “Either Team to Win by 5 or Less,” which offers good value at +190.

As these two teams meet, fans and analysts alike will closely watch how they adapt and respond under pressure in this Western Conference clash.