2026 Predictions: Which Teams Will Climb or Tumble?
As the 2026 AFL season approaches, several teams are positioned for potential success or challenges. Teams like Fremantle and Hawthorn have shown promise in recent seasons, yet they still have hurdles to overcome. The integration of new players and injuries will heavily impact their performance.
Fremantle’s Outlook
Fremantle remains a mystery after three years of unfulfilled expectations. Despite winning 16 games last season, they ended up sixth. Their elimination final loss to the Suns at home was a missed opportunity. History suggests caution when considering them as title contenders.
Hawthorn’s Concerns
Hawthorn’s off-season strategies bring uncertainty. They anticipated the return of Will Day, paired with Zach Merrett. However, both players are currently sidelined, complicating their midfield strength. James Sicily is back from injury, and young talent Josh Weddle aims to become a star, yet doubts linger regarding their championship aspirations.
Western Bulldogs’ Promise and Pitfalls
The Western Bulldogs have the tools to compete, featuring strong forwards and a budding midfield led by Ed Richards and Joel Freijah. Despite the loss of Ugle-Hagan, they can still leverage Cody Weightman’s development. Their track record raises skepticism, but they may yet prove the critics wrong.
Collingwood’s Challenges
Collingwood faces potential instability due to age and roster changes. The reliance on the Darcy brothers, Cameron and Moore, raises concerns about their durability. Additionally, missing Bobby Hill adds to their challenges. While they still possess strengths, their prospects for another top-four finish seem bleak.
Adelaide’s Uncertain Position
Adelaide finished on top of the ladder last season but faltered in the finals. Izak Rankine’s absence was significant, and while they retain a solid roster, their midfield lacks depth compared to other leading teams. Their performance this season will be closely monitored.
GWS: A Wild Card
The Greater Western Sydney Giants are challenging to predict. The impact of Clayton Oliver’s arrival is uncertain. Missing Josh Kelly for much of the season adds to their unpredictability.
Sydney’s Bright Future
With a finished tenth in 2025, Sydney is poised for improvement. The return of Errol Gulden, coupled with new recruit Charlie Curnow, could propel them into finals contention. Losses in player personnel should be offset by fresh talent.
Melbourne’s Major Changes
Melbourne underwent significant restructuring, parting with key players such as Oliver and Petracca. This shift indicates a new direction for the club, although it could result in a challenging season ahead. The potential loss of Max Gawn due to injury may further complicate matters.
Bottom-Six Bolters
North Melbourne has struggled historically but is gathering promising draft picks. However, a lack of strong key defenders casts doubt on their capability to improve significantly. Richmond is on a rebuilding path with a mix of youthful talent that could soon yield results.
Conclusion
The 2026 AFL season is shaping up to be unpredictable. Teams can experience surprising shifts in form based on roster changes, injuries, and strategic decisions. Fans can expect an exciting season with shifts in team standings as the competition evolves.
