2026 Australian Open: Mochizuki vs. Tsitsipas Prediction, Odds & Preview

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2026 Australian Open: Mochizuki vs. Tsitsipas Prediction, Odds & Preview

In the first round of the 2026 Australian Open, Stefanos Tsitsipas faces off against Shintaro Mochizuki. This matchup features the 33rd ranked Tsitsipas, who is a significant favorite, against the 112th ranked Mochizuki.

Matchup Overview: Mochizuki vs. Tsitsipas

The match is scheduled for Sunday, January 18, and will be broadcasted live on ESPN+.

Match Details

  • Tournament: Australian Open
  • Round: Round of 128
  • Date: January 18, 2026
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Fubo
  • Court Surface: Hard

Betting Odds

As of the latest updates, the odds favor Tsitsipas at -649, whereas Mochizuki is positioned as the underdog with odds of +425.

Player Performance Insights

Shintaro Mochizuki

  • Ranking: No. 112
  • Hard Court Record: 10 wins, 9 losses in the past year
  • Serving Success: 68.8% of serves won
  • Return Game Success: 29.5% of returns won
  • Break Points Converted: 39.4% (61 out of 155)

Mochizuki’s last appearance was at the ASB Classic, where he was eliminated by Juan Manuel Cerundolo with a score of 4-6, 7-6, 2-6.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

  • Ranking: No. 33
  • Hard Court Record: 12 wins, 9 losses in the past year
  • Tournament Wins: 1 on hard courts
  • Service Game Success: 80.7% (226 out of 280)
  • Return Game Success: 22.3% (61 out of 274)
  • Break Points Won: 47 out of 147 (32.0%)

Tsitsipas recently competed in the Great Ocean Road Open, where he lost to Aleksandar Vukic in straight sets (6-7, 6-7).

Prediction and Outlook

Considering the current statistics and performance, Mochizuki has an implied probability of winning at 86.6%. However, given Tsitsipas’ experience and stronger ranking, he is expected to have an advantage in this matchup.

For comprehensive coverage and additional insights on the Australian Open, visit Filmogaz.com.