Projected Masters Cut: Which Players Risk Missing the Weekend at Augusta
The final groups for the second round at the 2026 Masters have started, and the cutline is tightening. Fans and bettors are watching closely as scores settle after 36 holes.
How the Masters cut works
The Masters uses a smaller weekend field than other majors. After 36 holes, only the top 50 players and ties advance at Augusta National.
By contrast, the PGA Championship and the Open Championship reduce to the top 70 and ties. The U.S. Open cuts to the top 60 and ties.
Projected Masters cut and probabilities
As of 4:40 p.m. ET, the official cutline sits at four over par. DataGolf puts a 98 percent probability on that number holding.
The same model shows a one percent chance the cut slips to three over. There is roughly a 0.1 percent chance it moves to five over.
Which players risk missing the weekend at Augusta
Several notable names are hovering at or beyond the projected Masters cut. Scores below reflect standings as of 4:40 p.m. ET.
- Brian Harman +4 (F)
- Jon Rahm +4 (F)
- Si Woo Kim +4 (F)
- Corey Conner +4 (F)
- Cameron Smith +5 (14)
- J.J. Spaun +6 (F)
- Robert MacIntyre +7 (F)
- Fred Couples +9 (F)
- Min Woo Lee +11 (F)
What to expect next
The projected Masters cut looks likely to hold at four over par. Final afternoon groups could still alter several borderline scores.
Filmogaz.com will monitor any late changes and report updated standings after play concludes.
