Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll: Expert Predictions and Top Picks
Two flyweights meet on the UFC Fight Night prelims tonight in Las Vegas. The bout will air on Paramount+ with prelims starting at 5:00 p.m. ET.
Fight background
The matchup between Alessandro Costa and Stewart Nicoll was contested after weigh-ins at Meta APEX. The weigh-ins took place on April 3, 2026, in Las Vegas.
Both fighters enter this fight coming off recent defeats. Each will look to return to the win column on the prelims card.
Fighter profiles
Alessandro Costa
Costa holds a 14-5 professional record with 11 finishes. Five of his last six fights ended by knockout.
He measures 5’4″ with a 67-inch reach. Costa averages 3.64 significant strikes per minute at a 44 percent accuracy.
Stewart Nicoll
Nicoll is 8-2 with seven wins by knockout or submission. Prior to his recent decision loss, his previous five fights ended by finish.
He stands 5’5″ with a 65-inch reach. Nicoll lands more than two additional takedowns per 15 minutes than Costa.
Key matchup statistics
- Costa’s takedown defense: 83 percent.
- Significant strikes per minute: Costa 3.64, Nicoll 3.00.
- Significant strike accuracy: Costa 44%, Nicoll 34%.
- Height and reach: Nicoll is one inch taller; Costa holds a two-inch reach advantage.
Odds and expert pick
Filmogaz.com lists Costa as the favorite at -425. Nicoll appears as the underdog at +330.
Analyst Ryan Wohl advises a wager on the fight not going the distance. The recommended market is underdog to avoid the distance at -145.
Wohl’s reasoning cites both fighters’ high finish rates. Costa’s striking edge and Nicoll’s finishing history point toward an early end.
Context for bettors
This bout is included among Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll Expert Predictions and Top Picks coverage. Review statistics and lines before placing a bet.
Prelims begin at 5:00 p.m. ET and will air on Paramount+. Bettors should confirm odds as they can change before the fight.
