Alibi Idiris Favored in Houston: Ode Osbourne vs Alibi Idiris Odds, Stats and Best Bet for Feb. 21

Ode Osbourne will meet alibi idiris in a flyweight prelim on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez in Houston’s Toyota Center, and the opening moneyline shows Osbourne at +110 with Idiris at -130. That price, paired with recent betting commentary, makes the fight a focal point for early-card wagers.

Alibi Idiris: Profile, key numbers and form

Alibi Idiris enters this matchup as a 31-year-old orthodox flyweight with an 11-1-0 record, standing 5'6" with a 68" reach and weighing 125 lbs. Idiris averages 3. 47 significant strikes per minute and lands 50% of the significant strikes he throws. On defense he allows 3. 60 significant strikes per minute and is credited with thwarting 53% of the shots thrown his way. In wrestling and finishing metrics, Idiris finishes 15% of his takedown attempts, stuffs 60% of takedown attempts against him, and attempts 0. 7 submission finishes per 15 minutes.

Ode Osbourne: profile, recent form and knock-on stats

Ode Osbourne, nicknamed "The Jamaican Sensation, " is listed at 34 years old with a 13-9-0 (1 NC) career mark. He is a southpaw, 5'7" tall with a 73" reach and competes at 125 lbs. Osbourne lands 3. 07 significant strikes per minute and connects on 41% of his significant attempts. He takes 3. 43 significant strikes per minute and is credited with preventing 47% of opponents’ significant strikes. On the mat he averages 1. 09 takedowns per three rounds, finishes 30% of his takedown attempts, and defends 66% of takedowns against him. Osbourne attempts 0. 5 submission finishes per three rounds.

Fight-level numbers and recent results for both men

• Opening odds: Ode Osbourne +110, Alibi Idiris -130.
• Osbourne’s last fight: lost to Steve Erceg by unanimous decision in round 3. Erceg landed 39 of 82 total strikes; Osbourne landed 47 of 89 total strikes. In significant-strike terms Erceg landed 20 of 53 (37%); Erceg landed 10 of 42 significant strikes to the head. Osbourne landed 35 of 74 significant strikes (47%); 20 of 53 of the significant strikes thrown at Osbourne were aimed at the head. Of connected significant strikes, 60% of Erceg’s and 82% of Osbourne’s were at distance.
• Idiris’s last fight: lost to Joseph Morales by triangle choke in round 2. Morales connected on 62% of his significant strikes at distance while Idiris connected on 78% of his significant strikes at distance. Idiris connected on 28 of 56 significant strikes (50%), including 9 of 35 to the head. Morales landed 29 of 63 significant strikes, 15 of 44 to the head. Total-strike numbers: Morales 44 of 86; Idiris 50 of 82.
• Contextual form: one betting analyst framed Osbourne as having lost four of his last five fights and suggested Idiris is still on the rise despite his recent loss. That same analyst made Idiris the recommended moneyline play and predicted Idiris would record his first official UFC victory in Houston.

Card placement, venue and logistics

This flyweight bout is scheduled as the penultimate fight of the prelims at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez, which takes place at the Toyota Center in Houston, USA. The full main card and prelim lineups listed for the event are provided below. Expected walkout time for Ode Osbourne and Alibi Idiris is unclear in the provided context. TV and streaming channel specifics were listed in the original event listing but are unclear in the provided context.

Main card

• Sean Strickland vs Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight)
• Dan Ige vs Melquizael Costa (Featherweight)
• Serghei Spivac vs Ante Delija (Heavyweight)
• Jacobe Smith vs Josiah Harrell (Welterweight)
• Zachary Reese vs Michel Pereira (Middleweight)

Prelims

• Chidi Njokuani vs Carlos Leal Miranda (Welterweight)
• Ode' Osbourne vs Alibi Idiris (Flyweight)
• Nora Cornolle vs Joselyne Edwards (Women’s Bantamweight)
• Ramiz Brahimaj vs Punahele Soriano (Welterweight)

Betting angle, best bet note and responsible gambling info

With Idiris priced at -130 and a featured pick from a betting analyst leaning toward Idiris on the moneyline, the bout has a clear wagering narrative: an ascending fighter with crisp striking and grappling versus a veteran with notable recent losses. The analyst’s overall best-bet ledger for 2026 was stated as 32-17 (67%), with an estimated profit of $1, 077. 42 based on $100 per bet and a 21% return on investment. A complimentary top-rated pick was offered by a sports-picks service when signing up for a free $60 account.

Gambling reminder and help lines listed in the event material: 21+ to wager. For problem gambling, the following resources were noted — call 1-800-GAMBLER for CO, DC, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY; call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY for NY; call 1-800-327-5050 for MA; call 1-800-NEXT-STEP for AZ; call 1-800-522-4700 for KS, NV; call 1-800 BETS-OFF for IA; call 1-800-270-7117 for MI.

What to watch and closing take

Key matchups to monitor in the Osbourne–Idiris scrap are clinch control, takedown success rates, and distance striking efficiency. The matchup presents contrasting profiles: Osbourne’s superior takedown rate per three rounds versus Idiris’s higher striking accuracy and takedown defense. For bettors and fans focused on the prelims, the moneyline and the analyst’s lean toward Idiris frame this bout as a top bet on the undercard. Recent updates indicate these details are current for the Feb. 21 card; specifics such as walkout time and broadcast windows may evolve and are unclear in the provided context.