One Year Later: Americans Bear the Cost of Trump’s Tariffs
New data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York highlights the economic impact of tariffs in the United States. The report reveals a stark reality: American consumers and businesses bear the brunt of the tariffs imposed by the government. This fundamental economic principle has played out in real time for American households and businesses alike.
Understanding the Financial Impact of Trump’s Tariffs
According to the findings, U.S. businesses and consumers were responsible for nearly 90% of the import taxes in 2025. The National Bureau of Economic Research and the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) support these findings, indicating that businesses are likely to mitigate losses by passing on about 70% of additional costs to consumers. Discounts in business margins are expected, with businesses absorbing only a portion of the costs.
Tariff Burden Statistics
- Tariffs implied an average tax increase of $1,000 per household in 2025.
- Foreign exporters are estimated to cover only about 5% of the total tariff costs.
This growing tariff fatigue is evident in Washington. Recently, a coalition of six House Republicans, alongside Democrats, sought to repeal tariffs on Canada. Despite this effort, it is anticipated that President Trump would veto any measure to roll back these tariffs.
Political Responses and Legislative Actions
In response to the vote against tariffs, President Trump issued a warning to Republicans who voted in favor of repeal, signaling potential consequences for dissent within his party. The political climate around tariffs is shifting, especially as a Supreme Court ruling regarding their legality looms.
Economic Conditions Amidst Tariff Debates
While the administration touts successes such as slowed inflation and increased corporate profits, everyday Americans are feeling the squeeze on their cost of living. Trump’s promises to reduce prices have largely gone unfulfilled, with few exceptions noted in specific items like eggs.
Job Growth and Economic Disparities
Despite optimistic economic indicators, such as the announcement of 130,000 new jobs in January 2025, the job growth was heavily concentrated in the health care sector. In fact, health care and social assistance accounted for 97% of the job increases for the entire year. This uneven economic growth has created what economists refer to as “one-legged stools” that are unsustainable.
- Health care jobs dominated growth statistics.
- Other sectors showed minimal gains, raising concerns about the overall economic balance.
In summary, the impact of tariffs continues to resonate across American households and businesses. As these economic policies unfold, the long-term effects on the U.S. economy and its citizens remain to be fully seen.