UFC 324: Expert Predictions and Odds for O’Malley vs. Yadong
UFC 324 will feature an exciting bantamweight bout between Sean O’Malley and Song Yadong. This event takes place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Fans can tune in on April 20, 2025. The early prelims commence at 5:30 p.m. ET, followed by prelims at 7 p.m. ET, and the main card at 9 p.m. ET, all available on Paramount+.
Fight Overview: O’Malley vs. Yadong
Both fighters bring impressive records to the octagon. Sean O’Malley holds a record of 18 wins, 3 losses, and 0 draws, while Song Yadong has 22 wins, 8 losses, and 1 draw. Each fighter has one no contest on their record.
Recent Performance
O’Malley recently faced tough competition. He lost his title to Merab Dvalishvili via unanimous decision at UFC 306 in September 2024. This was followed by a rematch at UFC 316, where he suffered a submission loss in Round 3. Despite these setbacks, O’Malley has a notable striking rate, landing significant strikes at 6.30 per minute with 61.73% accuracy.
Yadong, known for his striking power, secured a unanimous-decision victory against Henry Cejudo at a Fight Night event in February 2025. In his last 10 fights, he has gone the distance six times, achieving three wins in these bouts and finishing four matches by knockout or TKO.
Stats Comparison
| Statistic | Sean O’Malley | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 18 | 22 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
| No Contests | 1 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Landed per Minute | 6.30 | 4.58 |
| Strike Accuracy | 61.73% | 43% |
| Average Reach Advantage | 5 inches | N/A |
Betting Odds and Predictions
According to BetMGM Sportsbook, the odds for the fight reflect O’Malley’s advantage. The current betting line shows O’Malley at -220, requiring a bet of $220 to win $100, while Yadong is at +180, where $100 bet would yield $180 if he wins.
For those considering whether the fight will go the distance, the odds are:
- Yes: -225
- No: +165
Expert Picks
Experts suggest that Sean O’Malley is likely to regain his winning momentum. The fighter, nicknamed “Suga,” is known for a combination of power and precision. Given his history of 7 KO/TKO victories in his last 12 fights, the prediction leans towards O’Malley winning by KO/TKO, DQ, or submission at odds of +275.
Despite O’Malley’s higher betting cost, the potential for a finish makes this approach appealing. Additionally, choosing “No” for the fight going the distance could offer good value, considering Yadong’s recent endurance in long matches.
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