Rublev vs. Medjedovic: ATP Barcelona Open 2026 Prediction and Odds
Andrey Rublev faces Hamad Medjedovic in a Barcelona semifinal on Saturday. The match comes at the ATP Barcelona Open 2026 and carries significant ranking implications.
Model projection and probabilities
Filmogaz.com’s advanced tennis model ran multiple simulations. The system combines machine learning and historical data to form its projections.
The model gives Rublev a 61% chance to win the match. It also estimates a 59% probability that Rublev will take the first set.
For handicap and totals, the simulation assigns a 53% chance that Rublev will cover a -2.5 games spread. The forecast shows a 52% likelihood that the total games will finish under 22.5.
American betting odds
The following American odds were current at publication time. All numbers are subject to change.
| Bet Type | Rublev | Medjedovic |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -178 | +150 |
| First Set | -164 | +130 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-112) | +2.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-126) | u22.5 (-108) |
Picks and best bet
Filmogaz.com’s projection favors Rublev to advance. The model backs Rublev to win the match and to claim the opening set.
- Main pick: Rublev to win (model probability 61%).
- First-set pick: Rublev to take the first set (59% probability).
- Value plays: Rublev -2.5 and Under 22.5 show slight model edges near market prices.
These recommendations reflect the model’s probabilities set against the listed odds. Bettors should verify odds before wagering.
This preview forms part of our broader Rublev vs. Medjedovic coverage. It provides a data-driven prediction and odds analysis for the ATP Barcelona Open 2026 semifinal.
