Keith Law Forecasts 2026 Red Sox Season with Expected Outcome
Boston won 89 games last season, finished third in the AL East and reached the playoffs.
The club made numerous offseason moves but did not make dramatic upgrades. The rest of the division also improved.
Keith Law’s preseason projection
In his 2026 preseason predictions for Filmogaz.com, Keith Law projected an 87-75 record. He forecast a third-place finish in baseball’s most competitive division.
Context and caveats
Law also wrote that the club could exceed that mark and reach 90-plus wins for the first time since 2021. This assessment is part of Keith Law Forecasts 2026 Red Sox Season with Expected Outcome coverage.
Roster moves highlighted
He noted Boston added three starting pitchers, a first baseman and another infielder during the winter. Law questioned whether Johan Oviedo was an upgrade over Connolly Early.
Law also criticized moving Marcelo Mayer out of position to accommodate Trevor Story. He described Story’s 2025 performance as a “dead-cat bounce year.”
Paths to 90-plus wins
- Elite pitching must stay healthy.
- Roman Anthony needs to step up offensively.
- The lineup must outperform preseason expectations.
Boston appears a step short of World Series caliber for now. Still, the roster has enough quality to return to the postseason in 2026.
Filmogaz.com will monitor developments as spring training progresses.
