Alibi Idiris Installed as Favorite for UFC Houston Flyweight Bout vs Ode Osbourne
Alibi Idiris will face Ode Osbourne in a flyweight bout at UFC Fight Night in Houston on Saturday, February 21, 2026, and the betting market shows Idiris as the favorite. The matchup matters now because it sits as the penultimate bout on the prelims at the Toyota Center and carries clear stylistic implications that shape the moneyline.
Toyota Center — UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez
The event is set for the Toyota Center in Houston, USA, on February 21, 2026, headlined by Sean Strickland vs Anthony Hernandez. The main card also lists Dan Ige vs Melquizael Costa, Serghei Spivac vs Ante Delija, Jacobe Smith vs Josiah Harrell and Zachary Reese vs Michel Pereira. The prelims card includes Chidi Njokuani vs Carlos Leal Miranda, Ode' Osbourne vs Alibi Idiris, Nora Cornolle vs Joselyne Edwards and Ramiz Brahimaj vs Punahele Soriano. The bout between Osbourne and Idiris is scheduled as the penultimate fight on the prelims slate.
Moneyline: Ode Osbourne vs Alibi Idiris
Opening betting lines have Ode Osbourne at +110 and Alibi Idiris at -130. That spread reflects the market assigning Idiris a favored status ahead of the clash. What makes this notable is the contrast between Osbourne’s recent downturn and Idiris’ trajectory, which bettors are pricing into the moneyline.
Ode Osbourne's profile and grappling numbers
Ode "The Jamaican Sensation" Osbourne enters with a professional mark of 13-9-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old American fights at 125 pounds, stands 5'7" with a 73" reach and competes as a southpaw. Osbourne lands 3. 07 significant strikes per minute at a 41% clip while absorbing 3. 43 significant strikes per minute and preventing 47% of opponent attempts. On the mat, he averages 1. 09 takedowns per three rounds, converting 30% of his takedown attempts and defending about 66% of takedown tries against him. He attempts 0. 5 submission finishes per three rounds. In his most recent fight he lost by unanimous decision to Steve Erceg in round 3; Erceg landed 39 of 82 total strikes while Osbourne landed 47 of 89. Osbourne finished with 35 of 74 significant strikes landed (47%), with 20 of those significant strikes to the head, and 82% of his significant strikes were tallied at distance.
Alibi Idiris' profile and striking edge
Alibi Idiris, 31, competes at 125 pounds, stands 5'6" with a 68" reach and fights orthodox. His record is 11-1-0. Idiris averages 3. 47 significant strikes per minute and connects on 50% of his significant attempts while allowing 3. 60 significant strikes per minute; he defends approximately 53% of opponents' significant strikes. On wrestling, he completes about 15% of his takedown attempts and defends roughly 60% of takedown attempts against him. Idiris attempts 0. 7 submissions per 15 minutes. In his last Octagon appearance he lost to Joseph Morales triangle choke in round 2; Idiris landed 28 of 56 significant strikes (50%), including 9 of 35 to the head, and finished with 50 of 82 total strikes. The matchup’s numbers suggest a striking advantage for Idiris that should give him control on the feet.
Recent fights, nationalities and betting context
Prominent context for handicappers: Osbourne is American while Idiris is from Kazakhstan. One handicapping voice listed Idiris as the best bet for the prelim flyweight bout for February 21, noting Osbourne has lost four of his last five fights while Idiris remains on an upward trajectory despite his last defeat being his only UFC loss, which came in the finals of The Ultimate Fighter season he appeared on. That same handicapper projects Idiris will record his first official UFC victory in Houston. The handicapping record cited is 32-17 for 2026 (67%), with a stated profit of $1, 077. 42 on $100 stakes and a 21% return on investment.
A complementary promotional offer tied to betting content mentions a complimentary top-rated play when activating a free $60 account; unclear in the provided context how that offer is completed or where the account is registered.
Related bouts and responsible gambling details
Also on the slate is Alden Coria vs Luis Gurule; Coria is listed with an 11-3 mark. Broadcast arrangements differ by territory: the event has a UK pay-television broadcast listed and in the USA it is not on linear television but is available through streaming services. For bettors, problem-gambling help information provided alongside handicapping material includes: Call 1-800-GAMBLER for CO, DC, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY; Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY for NY; Call 1-800-327-5050 for MA; Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP for AZ; 1-800-522-4700 for KS, NV; 1-800 BETS-OFF for IA; and 1-800-270-7119 for confidential help in MI. The materials reiterate age and wagering restrictions: 21+ to wager, and a reminder to gamble responsibly.
The betting market’s price and the fighters’ contrasting metrics create a clear cause-and-effect: Idiris’ higher strike accuracy and defensive rate are being translated into a negative moneyline, while Osbourne’s recent losses and lower accuracy are reflected in his underdog status. Bettors and observers will watch whether Osbourne’s takedown rate can alter that dynamic on February 21.
