Necaxa - Toluca: Champion Toluca seeks to keep unbeaten run alive

necaxa - toluca meet at Estadio Victoria as part of Jornada 7 of the Liga MX Clausura 2026, with the reigning champion aiming to preserve an unbeaten record. Toluca arrives with three wins and three draws in six matches and the best defensive numbers this semester, while Necaxa looks to extend a recent run of home form after a loss in Jornada 4 at América.

Necaxa - Toluca: Invicto en juego

Toluca come into the match unbeaten and with defensive credentials that stand out: just two goals allowed this semester and no goals conceded on the road so far. The club’s positive run stretches back to before this league phase, with the only recent defeat mentioned occurring in a prior final first leg versus Tigres. That defensive solidity is the primary asset Toluca brings to Estadio Victoria and is the immediate obstacle Necaxa must navigate.

Necaxa's home form and trends

Necaxa are seeking a second consecutive home victory and a third win in any condition this campaign. The team’s last loss came in Jornada 4 at América. Historically, Necaxa have struggled to beat Toluca at home in recent meetings: the last time Necaxa won at the Victoria against Toluca was in Apertura 2020 by a 3-2 score, and the club has an extended run without wins over the Red Devils that reaches ten Liga MX matches in total. Necaxa’s coach emphasizes ball control and dynamism; the side has shown a tendency to produce decisive results rather than many draws in the tournament.

Toluca's defense and outlook

Toluca’s current identity is built on defensive strength. The team has adapted from a more offensive past into one that concedes very little, a shift partly explained by injuries and absences but reflected in concrete numbers: two goals allowed across six league games and a clean-sheet record away from home to date. The manager has demonstrated flexibility in defensive lineups without apparent loss of form, and adjustments in personnel—including potential changes in the forward line—remain plausible for the visit to Aguascalientes.

Key battles and what to watch

The clash centers on whether Necaxa can create and finish chances against a compact Toluca backline. A focal point will be Necaxa’s forward Julian Carranza and his partnership with Almendra, described as a dangerous pairing based on complementary traits: aerial threat and playmaking ability. If Toluca maintains its defensive discipline, Necaxa will need both volume and better finishing to break through. Conversely, if Toluca’s attackers find more space than in recent matches, their clinical defense-first approach could be enough to preserve the unbeaten run.

• Key context: Toluca unbeaten (three wins, three draws); Necaxa seeks second straight home win.
• Defensive edge: Toluca has allowed two goals this semester and none away.
• Historical note: Necaxa’s last home win over Toluca at the Victoria came in Apertura 2020.

Uncertainties remain about final lineups and specific absences for both sides; those details are not publicly confirmed in the material available. The immediate forward look is straightforward: if Toluca’s defensive form holds, Necaxa will face a narrow margin for error; if Necaxa leverages its aerial and playmaking strengths, the match could open up and test Toluca’s capacity to defend under pressure. The result will shape momentum for both teams early in the Clausura calendar and extend or end Toluca’s unbeaten sequence.