NBA trades heat up: why picks and payroll flexibility are driving the busiest deadline strategies right now

NBA trades heat up: why picks and payroll flexibility are driving the busiest deadline strategies right now
NBA trades

With the NBA trade deadline hitting Thursday, Feb. 5, 2026 at 3:00 p.m. ET, the busiest front offices aren’t just shopping for players—they’re shopping for optionality. The common thread in the most frequent deals has been small draft picks, cash considerations, and contracts moved for tax relief, all reflecting a league where roster-building is increasingly constrained by hardening payroll rules.

This year’s deadline has made one point hard to miss: teams are treating second-round picks like currency, not lottery tickets, because the real prize is financial and roster flexibility.

The new incentives: aprons, taxes, and frozen picks

The modern deadline is being shaped by how punitive the top end of spending has become. The league’s first apron this season is $195,945,000, and the second apron is $207,824,000. Crossing those lines doesn’t just cost money; it restricts how teams can trade, combine salaries, and add talent.

For teams above the second apron, the restrictions are especially severe. Aggregating salary in trades is heavily limited, and certain roster tools become unusable. There’s also a future-facing penalty: finishing above the second apron can “freeze” a first-round pick eight years out, making it untradeable—and sustained overspending can eventually push that pick to the back of the first round.

That’s why “tax-dodging” has become a deadline genre. A move that saves a few million now can preserve an entire menu of options later.

Second-round picks: the new grease in the trade machine

Second-rounders have become the simplest way to convince another team to absorb salary or take a player who doesn’t fit. They’re low enough cost to move frequently, but valuable enough to unlock deals—especially with the league placing more emphasis on cost-controlled talent and two-way pipeline development.

One of the clearest patterns this week has been the “player + seconds for cash” framework: a team sends a useful-but-expendable rotation piece plus picks; the receiving team gets compensated for taking on the money; the sending team steps away from the tax line (or a roster crunch) without giving up a premium asset.

Cap flexibility is the real deadline winner

Not every deadline is driven by stars changing jerseys. Many contenders and near-contenders are making quieter moves that improve their ability to act later—either in the offseason or at the next trade window.

Flexibility shows up in a few ways:

  • trimming salary to stay below the tax

  • flipping medium contracts into smaller ones that are easier to move

  • creating clean roster spots for internal promotions or buyout additions

  • shifting from long money to shorter money, even if the player return is modest

In that environment, picks are the bridge between “we want to move this contract” and “someone else is willing to take it.”

Recent deals show the blueprint

The deadline’s busiest strategies can be seen in a handful of widely discussed transactions from the final stretch:

Deal type What moved Why it happened
Tax-avoidance dump Tyus Jones + two second-round picks to Charlotte for cash Orlando clears room under the luxury tax; Charlotte buys picks by absorbing salary
Pick-driven upgrade Jose Alvarado to New York for Dalen Terry, two second-round picks, and cash New York adds a rotation guard; New Orleans stocks picks and offsets money
Clean swap for fit Luke Kennard to the Lakers for Gabe Vincent + a second-round pick Both teams reset their guard rotation and contract math
Franchise reset via contracts James Harden and Darius Garland swapped (plus a second-round pick) One side leans into win-now creation; the other shifts to a younger lead guard
Big swing, big balance sheet Anthony Davis to Washington in a multi-player, multi-pick package A star move packaged with salary planning and long-run pick positioning

The specifics differ, but the logic is the same: pick sweeteners are buying financial breathing room, and that breathing room is often worth more than the marginal on-court difference of the players swapped.

What this means for contenders and rebuilders after 3 p.m.

Once the deadline passes, the scoreboard for front offices won’t be limited to “who got better.” It will be “who can still do things” under the apron system.

For contenders, the next phase is about keeping trade avenues open while protecting the future pick pipeline. For teams in the middle, the smartest moves often involve turning veterans into seconds and keeping payroll nimble. For rebuilders, absorbing contracts for picks remains one of the cleanest ways to add long-term value without rushing player development.

The busy deadline strategies right now aren’t random—they’re a direct response to a league where financial constraints dictate the trade market. In 2026, a second-round pick isn’t just a prospect; it’s often the price of flexibility.

Sources consulted: NBA.com, Reuters, CBS Sports, Sportsnet