KenPom Forecasts BYU-Utah Rivalry Rematch and Updates Win Projections
On Saturday, BYU basketball will host their long-standing rival, Utah, for an exciting rematch. This follows their last encounter two weeks prior in Salt Lake City, where BYU secured an 89-84 victory. The upcoming game will be held on BYU’s home court, providing them a significant advantage.
KenPom Forecasts for BYU vs. Utah
KenPom, a leader in college basketball analytics, gives BYU a remarkable 96% chance of winning against Utah. The projected final score is 92-73. Currently, BYU sits at 14th in the KenPom rankings, showcasing strengths in both offensive and defensive strategies. Their adjusted offensive efficiency ranks 14th nationally, while their defensive efficiency is 20th.
Comparative Team Rankings
- BYU: 14th in KenPom
- Utah: 114th in KenPom
- Adjusted offensive efficiency for Utah: 75th
- Adjusted defensive efficiency for Utah: 210th
BYU’s Remainder of the Season Forecast
Following the game against Utah, BYU will face a challenging four-game stretch that includes teams like Arizona and Kansas. Here’s how KenPom predicts BYU will perform in the upcoming games:
| Opponent | Win Probability |
|---|---|
| Utah | 96% |
| Arizona | 43% |
| @ Kansas | 39% |
| @ Oklahoma State | 73% |
| vs Houston | 54% |
KenPom predicts a final record for BYU of approximately 24.2 wins and 6.8 losses, based on their performance in the next 13 games.
Potential Win Totals for BYU
Currently, BYU has achieved 16 wins this season, with 13 games remaining. Their chances of hitting notable win totals are as follows:
- 17 wins: 100% probability
- 18 wins: 100% probability
- 19 wins: 100% probability
- 20 wins: 99.9% probability
- 21 wins: 99.0% probability
- 22 wins: 95.5% probability
- 23 wins: 85.7% probability
- 24 wins: 67.1% probability
- 25 wins: 42.4% probability
- 26 wins: 19.9% probability
- 27 wins: 6.3% probability
- 28 wins: 1.2% probability
- 29 wins: 0.1% probability
Aiming for a record of 25 to 26 wins would place BYU in a favorable position for a top four seed in the NCAA Tournament.
BYU’s Odds in the Big 12
According to ESPN BPI, BYU basketball currently possesses the fourth-best odds to claim the Big 12 title:
- Arizona: 56% chance
- Houston: 55% chance
- Iowa State: 9% chance
- BYU: 6% chance
- Texas Tech: 4% chance
- Kansas: 1% chance
This season presents an exciting challenge for BYU, and their matchup against Utah is just one of many pivotal moments ahead.
