Xavier Becerra Surges in CA Governor Poll Post-Swalwell Exit
Under 50 days remain before California voters head to the primary. The field shifted this week after Eric Swalwell withdrew amid sexual assault allegations.
A new survey by Inside California Politics and Emerson College polled 1,000 likely voters. The poll shows many voters remain undecided, with 23 percent uncommitted.
Poll numbers and movement
Last month, 17 percent of respondents supported Swalwell. His departure has redistributed support across the field.
Xavier Becerra surges among Democratic voters. The former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary gained about 15 points with Democratic respondents.
- Steve Hilton (R): 17%
- Chad Bianco (R): 14%
- Tom Steyer (D): 14%
- Katie Porter (D): 10%
- Xavier Becerra (D): 10%
- Matt Mahan (D): 5%
The results show six candidates at or above the five percent threshold. Steyer now leads the Democratic side in this snapshot.
Context around the shift
Analysts say the post-Swalwell exit produced openings. Some Democratic voters appear to be re-evaluating previously dismissed names.
Observers also link the Becerra gains to a desire for steadiness. Voters have expressed interest in candidates with fewer unknown risks.
Debate impact and qualifications
The April 22 debate in San Francisco requires a five percent polling minimum. With Becerra and Mahan reaching that mark, six contestants now qualify.
That qualification alters the planned panel composition. The debate will no longer be an all-white lineup, a change some experts welcomed.
Expert reactions
Menlo College political scientist Melissa Michelson said the new poll underlines how open the race is. She noted that several campaigns can still gain traction.
UC Berkeley communications professor Dan Schnur said the exit gives other candidates a chance. He added that top contenders may not be the only beneficiaries.
What comes next
About 23 percent of likely voters remain undecided. The next few weeks will be decisive before the June primary.
Filmogaz.com will continue to monitor polling shifts and debate developments in this evolving race. Campaign activity and further polling will shape the final field.
