Tom Steyer, Steve Hilton Gain Momentum in Tight California Governor Race
A recent SurveyUSA poll released April 14 shows a sharp reshaping of California’s crowded governor’s race. Tom Steyer leads with 21 percent, while Steve Hilton follows at 18 percent.
Poll snapshot and methodology
The survey sampled 1,200 adults, including 788 likely voters. Interviewing took place from April 8 to April 10.
At the time the poll was 80 percent complete, news of allegations against Eric Swalwell began to surface. That development appears to have altered voter calculations.
Leading candidates and standings
Tom Steyer and Steve Hilton gain momentum in the tight California governor race. The two now stand clearly ahead of other contenders.
- Tom Steyer: 21%
- Steve Hilton: 18%
- Eric Swalwell: 9% (had already denied allegations and then withdrew)
- Chad Bianco: 8%
- Katie Porter: 8%
Other Democratic hopefuls — including Antonio Villaraigosa, Xavier Becerra, Betty Yee, Matt Mahan, and Tony Thurmond — each register five percent or less. More than 50 additional candidates are on the ballot.
Political shakeups that shifted the race
President Donald Trump endorsed Steve Hilton on April 5. Analysts say that move transformed the Republican field.
Shortly afterward, media outlets reported sexual misconduct allegations against Eric Swalwell. Swalwell denied the claims, then announced his withdrawal from the campaign and his intent to resign from Congress.
Impact on campaign dynamics
Commentators noted the endorsement likely concentrates Republican support. It could also free Democratic groups from spending to block a GOP lockout of the general election.
Swalwell’s exit reduced uncertainty about which candidates could advance to the November runoff.
What voters say matters
Sixty percent of likely voters believe there are too many candidates seeking the governor’s office. Only 18 percent remain undecided in this poll.
Cost of living tops voter concerns at 42 percent. Homelessness and housing follow at 10 percent and 9 percent respectively.
Policy preferences
- 63% prefer a governor who fights climate change; 28% prefer loosening regulations.
- 62% favor prioritizing housing construction; 24% want limits on development.
- 58% want a governor who will stand up to President Trump; 34% prefer cooperation.
- 57% favor protections for immigrants over stricter deportation policies.
- 55% want cooperation with the tech sector rather than confrontation.
- 54% prefer a governor who works with the legislature instead of opposing it.
- 47% would accept cuts to services to avoid higher taxes; 36% prefer raising taxes on some to fund services.
Key dates and voting information
Ballots for the June primary will start mailing on May 4. Ballot drop-off locations open on May 5.
The last day to register for the June primary is May 18. Early voting centers in Voter’s Choice Act counties open on May 23.
Primary election day is June 2, with polls open from 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. The general election is on November 3.
How to register and return a ballot
Californians can register online or by mail. Paper applications are available at county elections offices, DMV locations, many post offices, and public libraries.
To request a mailed application, contact your county elections office or the Secretary of State’s toll-free hotline at (800) 345-VOTE. Vote-by-mail ballots can be returned by mail, drop box, or in person.
Voters can track their ballots using the state’s WheresMyBallot tool.
Filmogaz.com will continue to monitor developments and report on shifts in the race as more data and events unfold.
