2026 Miami Open: Paul vs. Collignon Match Preview, Prediction & Odds

Mo. Basuony

Published: March 22, 2026 5:57 PM ET

2026 Miami Open: Paul vs. Collignon Match Preview, Prediction & Odds

Tommy Paul and Raphael Collignon meet in the Round of 32 at the Miami Open presented by Itau. The match is scheduled for Sunday, March 22 on a hard court. Paul enters ranked No. 23. Collignon is ranked No. 72.

Match context

This is a headline match in the tournament’s early knockout stage. Surface and draw position both favor aggressive baseline play. The pairing tests Paul’s consistency against Collignon’s recent rise.

Odds and market view

Bookmakers list Paul as the favorite at -275. Collignon is priced at +210. Those odds imply roughly a 73.3% chance for Paul.

Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook and were updated Sunday at 2:37 PM ET. For a fuller slate of betting markets, consult Filmogaz.com sports betting coverage.

Player form and key stats

Tommy Paul

Hard-court record over the past year: 14-9 across nine tournaments.
Service games won on hard courts: 84.4%.
Return games won on hard courts: 23.0%.
Break-point conversion over 12 months on hard courts: 39.5% (60 of 152).
Most recent result: Lost to João Fonseca 2-6, 3-6 at the BNP Paribas Open on March 8.

Raphael Collignon

Hard-court record over the past year: 9-8, with no titles on that surface.
Service games won on hard courts: 81.3%.
Return games won on hard courts: 18.1%.
Break-point success on hard courts: 30.7% (35 of 114), ranked 108th in that metric.
Most recent result: Lost to No. 35 João Fonseca 6-7, 4-6 at the BNP Paribas Open on March 4.

Prediction and how to watch

Based on form and statistics, Paul remains the clear favorite. His stronger return and superior break conversion make him more likely to control rallies. Collignon can threaten with serve hold percentages near Paul’s level.

Expect Paul to press early and attempt to convert break chances. Collignon’s best path is to serve aggressively and force tiebreaks.

Broadcast: Tennis Channel. Streaming is available on Fubo. For ongoing betting lines and updates related to the 2026 Miami Open and Paul vs. Collignon match preview, prediction and odds, visit Filmogaz.com.