South Florida Basketball Gains Popularity as NCAA Bracket Upset Choice

Mo. Basuony

Published: March 19, 2026 2:01 PM ET

The University of South Florida enters the NCAA tournament as a popular upset pick. The Bulls are the 11th seed in the East. They meet No. 6 Louisville in Buffalo, New York, on Thursday.

South Florida Basketball Gains Popularity as NCAA Bracket Upset Choice has trended since brackets were released. USF claimed both the American regular-season and tournament titles. The team arrives on a 12-game winning streak.

Expert projections

Jay Bilas’ outlook

ESPN analyst Jay Bilas picked USF to topple Louisville in the opening round. He noted both teams take many 3-pointers, creating longer rebound opportunities. Bilas also flagged a Michigan State matchup as the likely next test, with MSU favored to advance past USF.

CBSSports’ perspective

Isaac Trotter of CBS Sports also forecasts a Bulls upset over the Cardinals. He praised USF’s shooters and interior presence. Trotter pointed to the team’s recent form as proof of its tournament readiness.

Key players and matchups

USF’s centerpiece is Izaiyah Nelson. The 6-foot-10 forward is the conference player of the year. He is averaging nearly a 20-point double-double this season.

Louisville’s backcourt carries uncertainty. Freshman Mikel Brown Jr. averages better than 18 points per game. He has been hampered by a back issue and his participation remains unclear.

Why analysts like USF

Experts cite depth and balance for the Bulls. Guards Joseph Pinion and Wes Enis were described as reliable perimeter shooters. Trotter emphasized USF’s ability to rebound and defend Louisville’s actions.

Trotter also noted the team has won 19 of its last 22 games. Two of those three losses were in overtime. The other loss came by a single point.