Three Rivers Tornado warning? Forecast keeps only a marginal severe risk for Friday into Saturday

three rivers tornado
Thunderstorms are expected to arrive late Friday and continue into Saturday, but forecasters have kept the severe threat at a low, Marginal Risk level with hail, gusty winds and pockets of heavy rain the primary concerns across the area.

Three Rivers Tornado

The Marginal Risk in place for Friday afternoon through 7 a. m. Saturday centers on the possibility of hail, gusty winds and localized flooding, with the main window for scattered rain and thunderstorms beginning around 3 p. m. Friday as a warm front lifts through. Storms should taper off around midnight Friday night, then a second round is expected to move in Saturday morning.

Timing and what to expect Friday into Saturday

Expect clouds and pockets of fog to linger early Friday, with patchy but sometimes dense fog noted in the pre-dawn period; rain was expected to depart some areas around 7–8 p. m. on the first night before the evening round develops. Winds are forecast southeasterly at about 5 to 15 miles per hour, with gusts between 20 and 25 miles per hour, and if storms do manage to intensify they could produce wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail 1 inch or larger.

Local effects and short-term outlook

Temperatures will be tricky across the region: highs generally in the 50s with some spots reaching 60, while the cooler north and east stay in the 40s; overnight warmth pushes some areas near 60 by Saturday morning. Sunday is expected to cool into the 50s with sun returning, and Monday looks warmer with rain largely kept away. Showers are possible Tuesday and more likely on Wednesday.

three rivers tornado
Forecasters emphasize the Marginal Risk is a lower-end outlook—most storms are not expected to become severe—but it remains possible for isolated stronger storms to produce damaging wind, hail and locally heavy rainfall. The Marginal Risk for Friday into early Saturday is followed by a new outlook that runs for the remainder of Saturday into 7 a. m. Sunday.

Overnight timing and the late-night to early-morning arrival of the Saturday round will be key: the initial round is expected to end around midnight, with another push arriving after 7 a. m. Saturday. Residents should be prepared for the temporary loss of an hour of sleep when clocks change for Daylight Saving Time Saturday night and keep an eye on updates through Friday as the warm front approaches.