Magic Vs Suns: magic vs suns finish, odds and model verdict
In a dramatic Saturday meeting, magic vs suns ended with Jalen Green stunning the Magic at the double-overtime buzzer to overcome a rough night. That shot made Green the first player with a three-point game-winning buzzer-beater in double overtime or later since Deron Williams in 2016.
Game context and records
This cross‑conference matchup paired the Phoenix Suns against the Orlando Magic. Phoenix entered the game 32-24 on the season, while Orlando came in 29-25. Phoenix had dropped four of its past five, and Orlando had won four of its past five.
Magic Vs Suns: Game details
Tipoff from the Mortgage Matchup Center was set for 5 p. m. ET. The latest Suns vs. Magic odds listed Phoenix as a 1. 5-point favorite, and the over/under was 217. 5.
Model simulations and picks
A projection model that simulates every NBA game 10, 000 times ran this matchup 10, 000 times and produced a clear lean. The model is going Over on the point total, and it also indicates that one side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time. The model simulated the matchup 10, 000 times and the results are in.
Model track record and performance
The projection model has returned well over $10, 000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model exited the NBA All-Star break on a sizzling 38-17 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season.
Jalen Green's 2OT buzzer
Suns' Jalen Green stunned the Magic at the 2OT buzzer to overcome a rough night, delivering a three-point, game-winning buzzer-beater in double overtime. That made Green the first player with a three-point game-winning buzzer-beater in double OT or later since Deron Williams in 2016.
Before making any magic vs suns picks, you NEED to see what the projection model has to say: it simulated the game 10, 000 times, leans to the over on the 217. 5 total, and finds that one side of the spread connects nearly 70% of the time. Who wins magic vs suns, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time, remains the core question the model set out to answer after producing its simulations.
Across the timeline of events, Phoenix entered with a 32-24 record and recent struggles, having dropped four of five, while Orlando was 29-25 and riding wins in four of five. The matchup tipped from the Mortgage Matchup Center at 5 p. m. ET, with Phoenix installed as a 1. 5-point favorite and the market showing a 217. 5 over/under.
Statements about the projection model emphasize its long-term results: more than $10, 000 returned for $100 players on top-rated NBA picks over eight-plus seasons, and a 38-17 run on top-rated spread picks after the All-Star break. The simulation work—10, 000 runs per game—yielded a verdict for this game: the over and a strong spread lean, with one side hitting nearly 70% of the time.
Green's buzzer in double overtime capped the on-court drama and supplied a historical footnote by matching a feat last accomplished by Deron Williams in 2016. The combination of a close line (1. 5 points), a 217. 5 total and a model that prefers the over framed the betting and viewing narrative for this Magic Vs Suns matchup.
Closing: The game combined a tight betting market—Phoenix a 1. 5-point favorite, 217. 5 over/under—with a projection model that ran 10, 000 simulations, favored the over, and put one side of the spread near a 70% hit rate, while Jalen Green’s 2OT, three-point buzzer-beater made him the first player with that specific game-winning shot in double OT or later since Deron Williams in 2016.
