Magic Vs Suns: magic vs suns matchup, model leans Over after Jalen Green’s 2OT buzzer
In the magic vs suns matchup set for Saturday, Feb. 21, Phoenix is a 1. 5-point favorite and the projection model is backing the Over on the 217. 5 point total. The game comes after Suns' Jalen Green stunned the Magic at a 2OT buzzer to overcome a rough night, and the model has produced a decisive projection after extensive simulation.
Teams and recent form
Phoenix is 32-24 on the season, while Orlando is 29-25. Phoenix has dropped four of its past five. Orlando has flipped that around and won four of its past five. Those records and recent trends set the stage for the matchup late in the Saturday schedule.
Magic Vs Suns odds and totals
Tipoff from the Mortgage Matchup Center is set for 5 p. m. ET on Saturday, Feb. 21. Phoenix is a 1. 5-point favorite in the latest Suns vs. Magic odds, while the over/under is 217. 5.
Model simulations and record
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10, 000 times and the model has simulated this matchup 10, 000 times. The projection model has returned well over $10, 000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model exited the NBA All-Star break on a sizzling 38-17 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season.
What the model projects
After running 10, 000 simulations of the magic vs suns game, the model is going Over on the point total. The projection also indicates one side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time. The simulation results are presented as definitive model outputs for this matchup.
Jalen Green’s 2OT buzzer
Suns' Jalen Green stuns Magic at 2OT buzzer to overcome rough night. Insights notes Jalen Green is the first player with a three-point game-winning buzzer-beater in double OT or later since Deron Williams in 2016. This article originally appeared on Hoops Hype and highlights Green’s long-distance game-winner in double overtime.
The projection model's pick for the magic vs suns matchup — an Over on 217. 5 and a strong side of the spread that hits nearly 70% of the time — sits alongside the breakout moment from Green, who provided a rare three-point game-winner in double overtime, a feat last recorded with Deron Williams in 2016 as noted by Insights.
The broader model coverage also lists other projected matchups: Lakers vs. Celtics prediction, odds, line: Proven model reveals 2026 NBA picks for Sunday, February 22; Nuggets vs. Warriors odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA matchup on Sunday, February 22; Cavaliers vs. Thunder odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA matchup on Sunday, Feb. 22; and Rockets vs. Knicks odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA matchup on Saturday, February 21.
For now, the concrete facts are these: Phoenix 32-24, Orlando 29-25; Phoenix has lost four of five while Orlando has won four of five; tipoff 5 p. m. ET from the Mortgage Matchup Center on Saturday, Feb. 21; Phoenix a 1. 5-point favorite; over/under 217. 5; the model ran 10, 000 simulations, favors the Over, and finds one side of the spread hitting nearly 70% of the time. Jalen Green provided a three-point, double-OT buzzer-winner — the first such shot since Deron Williams in 2016, per Insights — and that moment frames the matchup narrative heading into the game.
Unclear in the provided context are specifics about which side the model favors on the spread and the final score of the game.
