StatCan Projects Canada’s Population to Exceed 57 Million by 2075
Statistics Canada has unveiled significant population projections that highlight the dynamics shaping Canada’s demographics over the next fifty years. The report suggests that Canada’s population, approximately 41.7 million in mid-2025, will experience consistent growth across various scenarios.
Projected Population Growth in Canada
StatCan’s medium-growth forecast estimates Canada’s population could reach 57.4 million by 2075. The high-growth scenario forecasts an even higher total of 75.8 million, while a low-growth outlook anticipates at least 44 million.
Understanding Population Projections
It is important to note that these projections are not definitive predictions. Instead, they provide scenarios based on current trends and possible future developments, taking into account:
- Low fertility rates
- Changes in immigration policies
- Shifts in temporary resident regulations
Regional Demographic Changes
According to the projections, Ontario and Quebec are expected to retain their status as the most populous provinces well into the future. Meanwhile, Alberta is predicted to surpass British Columbia in population across most scenarios.
- Projected population increases in Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta
- Population share declines for Newfoundland and Labrador, and Nova Scotia
Recent Population Decline
Earlier projections indicated a notable population decline in Canada, driven by immigration policy changes. As of October 1, 2025, Canada’s population was roughly 41.6 million, reflecting a decrease of about 76,000 from previous months.
This decline primarily resulted from a significant drop in non-permanent residents, which decreased by over 176,000 during the quarter—marking the steepest decline recorded to date. By this time, around 2.8 million non-permanent residents constituted 6.8% of the population, down from 7.3% on July 1.
Key Statistics Overview
| Year Scenario | Population Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2025 (Mid-Year) | 41.7 million |
| 2075 (Medium Growth) | 57.4 million |
| 2075 (High Growth) | 75.8 million |
| 2075 (Low Growth) | 44 million |
These developments underscore the evolving demographic landscape of Canada as analyzed by Statistics Canada. With ongoing changes in fertility rates and immigration practices, future population trends will continue to shift.
