2026 Australian Open: Arnaldi vs. Rublev – Prediction, Odds, and Preview
This Sunday, January 18, 2026, the Australian Open features an intriguing Round of 128 matchup between Matteo Arnaldi and Andrey Rublev. The two players are set to clash on the hard courts, with Rublev, currently ranked No. 15, considered the favorite.
Matchup Overview: Arnaldi vs. Rublev
- Tournament: Australian Open
- Round: Round of 128
- Date: January 18, 2026
- TV Channel: ESPN+268
- Live Stream: Fubo
- Court Surface: Hard
Current Odds and Predictions
Rublev holds a strong betting line at -400, while Arnaldi’s odds are positioned at +280. The implied probability suggests an 80% chance for Rublev to prevail in this matchup.
Player Performance Statistics
Matteo Arnaldi, ranked No. 65 in the world, has had a mixed year on hard courts, boasting a 15-16 record. In the past 12 months, he has won 22.6% of his return games and 77.1% of his service games. Arnaldi’s break-point conversion stands at 31.9%, having successfully converted 65 of 204 opportunities.
Arnaldi’s most recent tournament was the qualification round of the Rolex Paris Masters, where he suffered a loss to Jacob Fearnley with a score of 5-7, 2-6.
Conversely, Rublev’s last year on hard courts shows a 24-16 record, including one tournament victory. His service game has been impressive, winning 80.5% of the time, while his return game success rate sits at 23.5%. Rublev ranks 12th in break point win percentage at 36.3%, having won 99 out of 273 break points.
Rublev’s latest outing ended in a semifinal defeat against Lorenzo Musetti at the BANK OF CHINA HONG KONG TENNIS OPEN, where he lost 7-6, 5-7, 4-6.
Conclusion
As the excitement builds for the 2026 Australian Open, the matchup between Matteo Arnaldi and Andrey Rublev promises to deliver thrilling tennis action. Fans can catch the live match on ESPN+268 and stream it via Fubo. All eyes will be on Rublev as he aims to validate his status as a favorite.
