2026 Grand Prix Hassan II: Rocha vs. Trungelliti Match Prediction and Odds

The Grand Prix Hassan II Round of 32 match on Tuesday, March 31, will pair Marco Trungelliti (No. 117) against Henrique Rocha (No. 133). The match is scheduled on clay. Fans can follow coverage on the Tennis Channel and Fubo.

BetMGM Sportsbook lists Rocha as the favorite at -150. Trungelliti is +115. Odds were updated Tuesday at 6:36 AM ET. The implied probability gives Rocha roughly a 60.0% chance to win.

Player form and clay records

Henrique Rocha has gone 6-4 on clay over the past 12 months. He has won 72.9% of his service games on clay and 25.0% of return games. Rocha converted 28 of 79 break points (35.4%) in that span.

Rocha’s most recent event was the Movistar Chile Open. He fell 4-6, 2-6 to No. 103 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in the qualification final on February 22.

Marco Trungelliti is 36 years old and seeking his first clay tournament victory of 2026. He is 2-3 on clay over the last 12 months. Trungelliti has held serve in 40 of 56 service games (71.4%) and won 13 of 59 return games (22.0%).

Trungelliti has converted 11 of 21 break points (52.4%), a rate that places him around 170th in that metric. His last outing was at the Dubai Duty Free Championships. He lost to No. 94 Luca Nardi 6-2, 2-6, 6-7 in Qualifying Round 1 on February 21.

Betting outlook and match prediction

Bookmakers favor Rocha in this clay matchup. The moneyline and the implied probability reflect that. Rocha also carries slightly stronger recent results on clay.

Trungelliti’s better break-point conversion offers a counterpoint. But his 2-3 clay record and recent qualifying loss leave questions. Tournament odds list Rocha at +3300 and Trungelliti at +5000 to win the event.

Final pick

Based on form and betting markets, Rocha is the logical selection. Expect a competitive encounter on clay. For updated markets and a full list of odds, consult the Filmogaz.com Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub before wagering.