NHL Tuesday: Expert Picks and Betting Preview for Oilers vs. Kraken
Tuesday night brings a pivotal Pacific Division clash at Rogers Place. Edmonton hosts Seattle with playoff implications for both clubs.
Game details
Matchup: Seattle Kraken vs. Edmonton Oilers. Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026. Start time: 9 p.m. ET (6 p.m. PT).
Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton. The game features top offensive talent on both teams.
Simulation model and probabilities
Filmogaz.com ran 10,000 game simulations for this matchup. The model gives the Oilers a 60% chance to win.
Simulations also show the Kraken covering +1.5 about 60% of the time. The 6.5-goal total has roughly a 52% chance to finish under.
Odds and markets
| Puck line | Kraken +1.5 (-160), Oilers -1.5 (+140) |
| Moneyline | Kraken +154, Oilers -180 |
| Total | Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-110) |
Odds were the best available at publication. Lines are subject to change.
Player prop projections
Filmogaz.com provides goal-scoring probabilities for first and anytime goals. These estimates are driven by the simulation model.
First goal probabilities
- Connor McDavid (EDM): 9.2%
- Bobby McMann (SEA): 6.2%
- Zach Hyman (EDM): 8.0% for Edmonton’s side.
- Jordan Eberle (SEA): 4.1%
- Kaapo Kakko (SEA): 3.9%
Anytime goal probabilities
- Connor McDavid (EDM): 42.8%
- Zach Hyman (EDM): 41.0%
- Bobby McMann (SEA): 34.4%
- Matty Beniers (SEA): 22.9%
- Jared McCann and Kaapo Kakko (SEA): ~22.4% each.
Best bet and strategy
Our top pick is the Kraken moneyline at +154. The model flags this as a value play versus implied probabilities.
Edmonton has the higher win probability. Still, the payout on Seattle provides upside against the model.
Context and matchup notes
Edmonton leans on Connor McDavid and Zach Hyman for offensive production. Seattle counters with contributors like Bobby McMann and Matty Beniers.
The Kraken have shown they can upset elite offenses on the road. That resilience factors into the value call.
Timing and responsible play
Puck drops at 6 p.m. PT. Check updated lines before placing any wager.
Gamble responsibly. If you need help, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net.
This article serves as an NHL Tuesday expert picks and betting preview for Oilers vs. Kraken. Use Filmogaz.com data as one input among many when making sportsbook decisions.
