Top MLB Home Run Bets for Monday, March 30, 2026
Home run props draw heavy interest from fans and bettors each night. Filmogaz.com’s Garion Thorne highlights three top plays for Monday’s slate.
For bettors hunting MLB home run bets on Monday, and specifically on March 30, 2026, these selections merit attention. The picks appear on DraftKings Sportsbook as 1+ home run markets.
James Wood vs. Taijuan Walker
James Wood is listed at +372 for 1+ home run. He faces Phillies right-hander Taijuan Walker.
Walker has yielded 1.95 opponent home runs per nine since the start of 2024. That mark leads all pitchers with at least 200 innings in that span.
The 33-year-old has shown declining velocity. His 2025 whiff rate was 18.5 percent and his strikeout rate was 16.0 percent. Both figures ranked near the seventh percentile.
Wood struggled with contact at times. Still, he posted a .502 expected wOBA on batted ball events last season. This matchup projects as hitter-friendly for him.
Addison Barger vs. Tomoyuki Sugano
Addison Barger is priced at +344 for 1+ home run. He is among the Blue Jays’ top left-handed power threats.
Barger, 26, ranked in the 93rd percentile in bat speed, at 75.9. He also finished in the 91st percentile for hard-hit rate, at 51.0 percent.
In 2025, 20 of Barger’s 21 home runs came versus right-handed pitching. His isolated power that season was .231.
Sugano has been susceptible to left-handed hitters in North America. In his North American rookie campaign, he surrendered 2.13 home runs per nine to opposing LHBs.
Other Toronto options with notable odds include Daulton Varsho (+355) and Andres Gimenez (+720). Jesus Sanchez could be considered if offered.
Nick Kurtz vs. Bryce Elder
Nick Kurtz carries a +288 price for 1+ home run. He faces Braves righty Bryce Elder.
In his rookie season, Kurtz slashed .336/.439/.714 with a .378 ISO versus right-handed pitching. Those numbers came in 336 plate appearances.
There are strikeout concerns, and his power outside Triple-A Sacramento was lower. Still, this matchup offers upside.
Elder, 26, has struggled since 2024, posting a 5.59 ERA across 38 starts. Injuries have played a role in his continued rotation status.
At Truist Park in 2025, opponents hit .306 and produced 1.40 home runs per nine against him. Elder relies on a heavy sinker and induces many ground balls. However, he does not generate many whiffs and often leaves pitches over the plate.
Garion Thorne’s three featured plays on DraftKings Sportsbook are James Wood, Addison Barger, and Nick Kurtz. Each pick targets favorable pitcher matchups and clear statistical edges.
