Warriors vs. Nuggets: Top Prop Bets for NBA Matchup on 3/29/26
The Denver Nuggets host the Golden State Warriors in a late Sunday contest at the Mile High City. Zach Thompson for Filmogaz.com breaks down key player prop targets for bettors ahead of the March 29, 2026 matchup.
Game context and betting lines
DraftKings Sportsbook lists Denver as an 11.5-point home favorite. The posted game total sits at 237.5 points. This marks the fourth meeting between the teams this season.
The Warriors won both home meetings. The Nuggets claimed the lone game in Denver.
Standings and recent form
Denver holds a 47-28 record. Golden State is 36-38. The Nuggets sit fourth in the Western Conference. The Warriors occupy the No. 10 seed and trail the Trail Blazers by a half game.
Golden State has won three straight against weaker opponents. Their record over the last 12 games is 4-8. Denver has won five straight and is 8-2 over its last 10.
Injury notes
The Warriors listed Stephen Curry, Al Horford and Moses Moody as out. Will Richard, Quinten Post and Seth Curry are questionable. The Nuggets had no one on their injury report for this game.
Top prop bets to consider
Draymond Green — Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-118)
Green projects to handle heavy minutes and playmaking duties. He averages 19.5 PRA for the season.
In his last 11 games, Green reached at least 20 PRA in eight contests. He posted exactly 20 PRA on Friday with six points, 10 assists and four rebounds. He logged 32 or more minutes in each of his past three games. In two prior matchups with Denver this season, Green produced 27 and 29 PRA.
Christian Braun — Over 10.5 Points (-112)
Braun averages 11.6 points across 39 games this season. He scored seven points in 22 minutes on Friday.
Before that, he exceeded this line in nine straight games. During that stretch he averaged 15.6 points while shooting 58.7% overall and 39.4% from three. Braun also had 12 and 18 points in his last two games versus Golden State.
De’Anthony Melton — Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-105)
Melton has played 42 games for Golden State, averaging 13 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists. That equals 18.7 PRA on the season.
He sat out Friday but is not listed on Sunday’s injury report. Over his last nine games he averaged 15.2 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists, or 22.7 PRA. He posted 25-plus PRA in five of those nine contests. Melton had 26 PRA on Feb. 22 versus Denver, with 20 points, four rebounds, two assists and four steals.
Bonus parlay suggestion
Consider adding Jamal Murray over 2.5 made three-pointers (-151) to a Same Game Parlay. Murray has made at least three triples in four straight games.
He hit nine threes versus the Mavericks and five against the Jazz. He averages 3.2 made threes this season and made five in his lone home game versus Golden State. Adding Murray as a fourth leg lifted the illustrated SGP to about +850 for these four plays.
Final notes
These Top Prop Bets reflect current lines and recent usage patterns. Check DraftKings Sportsbook and official injury reports before placing wagers. Filmogaz.com will update picks if significant changes occur.
