Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers: Odds, Picks, Predictions

Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers: Odds, Picks, Predictions

The Miami Heat (39-35) travel to Gainbridge Fieldhouse to face the Indiana Pacers (16-58) on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET in Indianapolis.

Recent form and context

Miami has lost five of its last six games. The Heat fell 149-128 at Cleveland on Friday, failing to cover as a 5.5-point road underdog.

Jaquez Jr. led Miami with 20 points in that loss. Bam Adebayo posted a 14-point, 16-rebound double-double.

The Heat sit ninth in the Eastern Conference. They are guaranteed a spot in the NBA Play-In Tournament.

Miami trails the 6-seed Atlanta Hawks by 2.5 games. The club will look to stop its late skid.

Pacers update

Indiana has dropped consecutive games after a 114-113 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers on Friday. Aaron Nesmith scored 26 points and shot 4-of-5 from three.

Andrew Nembhard recorded a 13-point, 10-assist double-double. The Pacers beat Miami 123-99 on Jan. 10 and lost 142-116 on Dec. 27.

The season series between the teams stands tied at 1-1. Indiana has shown competitive play at home despite its record.

Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers Odds, Picks, Predictions

Below are the main betting lines and our short predictions. Lines were provided by BetMGM and updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.

Moneyline Heat -400 | Pacers +310
Spread Heat -9.5 (-105) | Pacers +9.5 (-115)
Over/Under 245.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Injury report

  • Heat: G Norman Powell (back) — questionable.
  • Pacers: G Johnny Furphy (knee) — out.
  • Pacers: G Tyrese Haliburton (achilles) — out.
  • Pacers: G T.J. McConnell (hamstring) — questionable.
  • Pacers: G Aaron Nesmith (back) — questionable.
  • Pacers: F Pascal Siakam (knee) — questionable.
  • Pacers: F Obi Toppin (back) — questionable.
  • Pacers: C Ivica Zubac (rib) — out.

Consult the official NBA injury report for the latest updates. Statuses can change before tipoff.

Picks and short predictions

Predicted final score: Heat 128, Pacers 122. Betting the Heat moneyline has little value at the listed price.

Main pick: Back the Pacers +9.5 (-115). Indiana has covered five straight games.

Reasoning: The Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games. They are 4-0 ATS at home in their past four.

Secondary lean: Over 245.5 (-110). Both teams have hit the Over frequently in recent games.

Supporting notes: Indiana has scored at least 119 in four of its last five games. Miami has produced 120-plus points in four of its last five outings.

For betting context and additional analysis, visit Filmogaz.com. Check official sources for last-minute line or injury changes.