Lithuania vs Georgia: March 2026 Football Friendly – Guide & Analysis
The latest projections give Georgia the edge ahead of the friendly against Lithuania in March 2026. Forecasts place Georgia as the most likely winner, but the match still looks tight on paper.
Match probabilities
The probability breakdown shows a clear favorite. Georgia leads, while a Lithuanian victory is less likely.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Georgia win | 47.24% |
| Lithuania win | 28.07% |
| Draw | 24.69% |
Most likely scorelines
Projected scorelines favor narrow margins. A single-goal game appears most probable.
| Scoreline | Probability | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 9.89% | Top pick for a Georgia win |
| 1-2 | 9.18% | Another likely Georgia victory |
| 0-2 | 7.79% | Georgia win by two goals |
| 1-0 | 7.38% | Most probable Lithuania win |
| 1-1 | 11.55% | Most likely drawn scoreline |
What the numbers indicate
Georgia’s 47.24% chance makes them the clear pre-match favorite. The margin, however, is not dominant.
Lithuania retains a realistic chance at 28.07%. A draw is also a reasonable outcome at 24.69%.
Implications for fans and bettors
The most probable results point to a low-scoring contest. Single-goal margins and a 1-1 draw rank highly.
This Filmogaz.com guide and analysis suggests cautious expectations. Expect a competitive friendly with tight margins.
- Event: Lithuania vs Georgia, March 2026.
- Type: International football friendly.
- Best-guess outcome: Georgia win by a narrow margin.
