Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Philadelphia 76ers: Odds & Predictions

The Oklahoma City Thunder (56-15) visit the Philadelphia 76ers (39-32) on Monday. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia.

Recent form and context

Oklahoma City sits atop the Western Conference as the No. 1 seed. The Thunder hold a three-game cushion over the San Antonio Spurs.

Oklahoma City extended its win streak to 11 games with a 132-111 victory over Washington. That game was played on the road with the Thunder listed as 21.5-point favorites.

Philadelphia is the No. 7 seed in the East. The 76ers are half a game behind the No. 5 seed Toronto Raptors and two games clear of the Charlotte Hornets.

The 76ers have won four of five. Their latest result was a 126-116 road win over Utah as 5.5-point favorites.

Season series

Oklahoma City leads the season series 1-0. The Thunder won 129-104 on Dec. 28.

That meeting had Oklahoma City as 15-point favorites. The total that night went over 226.5.

Odds and market lines

• Source: FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
• Moneyline: Thunder -1100 | 76ers +700.
• Spread: Thunder -14.5 (-118) | 76ers +14.5 (-104).
• Over/Under: 224.5 (O -110 | U -110).

Injury and availability notes

• Thunder: PG Ajay Mitchell suspended and out.
• 76ers: C Joel Embiid out with an oblique issue.
• 76ers: PG Tyrese Maxey out with a finger injury.
• 76ers: SF Kelly Oubre Jr. out with an elbow issue.
• 76ers: PF Dominick Barlow listed as doubtful with an ankle concern.

Team metrics and trends

Oklahoma City ranks first in adjusted defensive rating (106.5). The Thunder also rank eighth in adjusted offensive rating (117.0).

OKC sits sixth in effective field-goal percentage at 55.8. The Thunder are stingy on defense and efficient on offense.

Oklahoma City has held six of its last ten opponents to 103 points or fewer. The list includes strong opponents like Minnesota and Boston.

The Thunder are 2-8 to the over in their last ten games. They are 12-13 to the over versus non-conference foes.

Head-to-head, the Thunder are 3-0 ATS in their last three meetings with Philadelphia. Each of those wins covered by 16 points or more.

Philadelphia is 0-3-1 ATS when listed as 15-point underdogs or worse. That record includes their earlier loss to Oklahoma City this season.

Picks and reasoning

Predicted final score: Thunder 118, 76ers 101.

Moneyline is steep at -1100. There is little value in wagering the Thunder straight up.

Primary play: Thunder -14.5 (-118). Oklahoma City is performing at an elite level. Philadelphia is significantly shorthanded.

Secondary play: Under 224.5 (-110). Philadelphia’s missing stars should struggle to generate points against a top defense.

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