Devin Booker vs. Kevin Porter: Data-Driven NBA Predictions for Bucks-Suns Game
The Phoenix Suns host the Milwaukee Bucks at Mortgage Matchup Center on Saturday, March 21, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. The Suns enter as heavy 11-point favorites.
Game details and context
Phoenix leans on elite scorers Devin Booker and Jalen Green. Milwaukee will be short-handed and will rely on Kevin Porter and veteran Bobby Portis. The matchup presents a clear talent gap on paper, but the betting line is large.
Odds and market lines
Current market parity places the Suns at -11 (-110). The Bucks sit at +11 (-110). Moneyline quotes show Suns -575 and Bucks +480.
The listed total is 217.5 with -106 for the over and -114 for the under. As always, those numbers can shift before tip.
Data-driven simulations
Filmogaz.com ran 10,000 computer simulations to model the Bucks-Suns game. The Suns registered an 81% win probability in that model.
The simulations also show the Bucks have a 54% chance to cover the +11 spread. The model gives a 51% probability that the 217.5-point total goes over.
Projected final score
The simulation average produced a 114-103 result in favor of Phoenix. That score reflects median outputs across the simulated sample.
Player prop projections
Filmogaz.com produced individual player projections for the matchup. These figures can help evaluate prop bets for the Bucks-Suns game.
- Kevin Porter — 16 PTS, 5 REB, 6 AST, 1 3PT
- Ryan Rollins — 16 PTS, 5 REB, 6 AST, 2 3PT
- Bobby Portis — 16 PTS, 7 REB, 2 AST, 2 3PT
- Ousmane Dieng — 11 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST, 2 3PT
- Kyle Kuzma — 11 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST, 1 3PT
- Devin Booker — 27 PTS, 4 REB, 6 AST, 2 3PT
- Jalen Green — 22 PTS, 5 REB, 4 AST, 3 3PT
- Collin Gillespie — 15 PTS, 5 REB, 5 AST, 3 3PT
- Jordan Goodwin — 12 PTS, 7 REB, 3 AST, 2 3PT
- Rasheer Fleming — 10 PTS, 5 REB, 1 AST, 3 3PT
Betting angles and best pick
Based on the simulations, the preferred angle is backing the Bucks to cover the +11 number. That play was the top pick generated by Filmogaz.com analytics.
Sharp bettors may also consider evaluating props tied to Devin Booker and Kevin Porter. Use the data-driven projections to size wagers responsibly.
Responsible betting
Odds and projections are accurate at publication time but may change. Treat all models as advisory, not guarantees.
If gambling causes concern, contact 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net for help and resources.
