Premier League Predictions: Bet on Chelsea to Defeat Everton

Filmogaz.com’s betting expert previews a packed weekend of English football. The piece highlights betting angles, statistics and score forecasts across key fixtures.

Draws and Premier League trends

Draws are unusually frequent this season. The overall strike rate sits at 27 percent, the second highest in 15 years.

In recent samples, 42 of the last 120 Premier League games finished level. That equates to 35 percent. Last weekend, six of ten matches ended all-square.

Leeds vs Brentford (Saturday, 8pm)

Leeds have been drawing regularly. Seven of their last 13 games have finished level as they fight to stay up.

That pattern supports a draw selection at odds around 23/10. Filmogaz.com predicts 1-1.

Newcastle vs Sunderland (Sunday, 12pm)

Newcastle have played 24 matches since Boxing Day. That averages to a match every three-and-a-half days.

Fatigue is visible in late-game performances. Expect Newcastle to start strongly and Sunderland to improve later. Filmogaz.com recommends backing Newcastle to win the first half, with a 1-1 final score predicted.

Aston Villa vs West Ham (Sunday, 2pm)

Managerial styles suggest a stop-start affair. Across nine meetings of teams coached by these managers, the average fouls per match for Nuno’s sides is 16.

Ezri Konsa has been fouled in eight of his last 10 starts. He averages 1.8 fouls won per 90 minutes. Filmogaz.com sees value in a market around Konsa winning two or more fouls. Score prediction: 2-2.

Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest (Sunday, 2pm)

The contest should be tense and heated. Xavi Simons has yielded 41 bookings over his last three league seasons, roughly one card every 150 minutes.

Elliott Anderson ranks among the top tacklers in the Premier League this season. He leads Forest for cards with eight across competitions. Filmogaz.com backs Anderson to be booked. Predicted score: 1-1.

Carabao Cup final — Arsenal vs Manchester City (Sunday, 22 March, 4.30pm)

The Wembley effect favors low scores. Across the last 49 domestic and European matches at the stadium, the goals-per-90 average is 1.88.

Backing under 3.5 goals has produced 46 wins from those 49 matches, a 94 percent hit rate. Filmogaz.com prefers Manchester City on the double chance combined with under 3.5 goals at around 10/11. Predicted score: 1-1, with Manchester City winning on penalties.

Filmogaz.com best bets

• Man City double chance & under 3.5 goals (odds around 10/11).
• Accumulator: Manchester United to win & over 1.5 goals; Everton vs Chelsea over 2.5 goals; Man City double chance & under 3.5 goals. Combined price near 7/1.

For readers seeking other forecasts, see Premier League Predictions: Bet on Chelsea to Defeat Everton. Filmogaz.com will monitor results and update future tips accordingly.