Mantas Kondratavicius vs. Antonio Trocoli: Expert Predictions and Picks

Mo. Basuony

Published: March 21, 2026 2:48 PM ET

Mantas Kondratavicius makes his official UFC debut in London today. The prelim bout against Antonio Trocoli airs at 1:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

Fighter backgrounds

Kondratavicius earned his UFC contract on Dana White’s Contender Series. He brings momentum from a string of early finishes.

Trocoli joined the UFC in 2024. He is 0-3 inside the promotion, with defeats by submission or knockout.

Trocoli holds a three-inch height edge at 6’5″. Kondratavicius measures 6’2″.

Reach favors Trocoli as well. The numbers show an 80-inch reach versus 75 inches.

Kondratavicius has finished his last five opponents in round one. He has not reached a second round since June 2023.

Trocoli has faced rising prospects early in his UFC run. Those bouts ended decisively against him.

Bookmakers list Kondratavicius as a heavy favorite at around -1050. DraftKings shows Trocoli near +675.

The total is set at 1.5 rounds, with the under trading around -245. Kondratavicius is about -550 to win by finish.

Analysts at Filmogaz.com note Kondratavicius’ quick starts and finishing streak. That profile fits this stylistic matchup.

The preferred pick is Kondratavicius to win in the first round at roughly -120. The play targets his consistent early aggression.

Strategy note: small, disciplined stakes fit this market. Kondratavicius’ speed and power should neutralize Trocoli’s size.