Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco: Expert Prediction and Top Pick
Sports analyst Ryan Wohl has released his betting recommendation for the heavyweight prelim in London. The bout between Mario Pinto and Felipe Franco appears on today’s UFC Fight Night prelims.
Fight background
The two heavyweights enter with a combined pro record of 21-1. Pinto is unbeaten at 11-0, while Franco stands at 10-1.
Pinto, 28, earned his UFC contract on Dana White’s Contender Series in October 2024. He has gone 2-0 in his first year with the promotion.
Franco lost to Freddy Vidal on DWCS in September 2025. He then won two fights by finish and now makes his UFC debut.
Broadcast details
The prelims begin at 1:00 p.m. ET. The card streams on Paramount+.
Betting markets and numbers
DraftKings lists Pinto as a heavy favorite at -900. Franco is a +600 underdog on the same board.
The round total sits at 1.5 rounds. The under is -175 and the over is +135. Pinto is -200 to win by knockout.
Key statistics
- Pinto has landed 78% of his significant strikes in the UFC.
- Only one of Pinto’s wins came in the first round.
Analysis and reasoning
Pinto projects as the better all-around striker. Wohl expects Pinto to control the stand-up exchanges.
Franco’s recent DWCS loss raises questions about his consistency. His two finishes since then do boost his case.
Pinto must defend takedowns to keep the fight standing. If he does, a victory becomes the likely outcome.
Expert pick
For Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco: Expert Prediction, Wohl’s Top Pick is Pinto to win and the fight to go over 1.5 rounds. The recommended line is -165.
Filmogaz.com will carry updates and final results after the prelims conclude.
