Heidenheim vs Leverkusen: Predictions & Odds for Bundesliga Match on Mar 21, 2026

Heidenheim heads into a crucial Bundesliga fixture on March 21, 2026 with relegation pressure. Bayer Leverkusen arrive after a Champions League exit and seek to refocus on the league.

Current form and context

Heidenheim lost 0-1 to Eintracht Frankfurt in their last match. The club sits eleven points from safety with eight games remaining.

This was Heidenheim’s third straight defeat. They have not won since early December and are without a league victory in 13 games.

At home, Heidenheim have collected ten of 14 available points. Four of their last six home matches ended in defeat.

Against current top-six opponents they conceded at least two goals in nine of ten meetings. Defensive frailties have been an issue.

Leverkusen were eliminated by Arsenal in the Champions League on Tuesday. Their focus now shifts fully to the Bundesliga.

Before this matchday, Leverkusen sit five points shy of a top-four place. Form has dipped with one win in eight competitive matches.

That sequence includes five draws and two defeats. The team has scored more than one goal only once in that stretch.

Despite form concerns, Leverkusen’s away record remains solid, having accumulated 21 points on the road.

Head-to-head and match traits

Leverkusen have won all five Bundesliga encounters between the clubs. The first meeting this season ended 6-0 in Leverkusen’s favour.

At the Voith-Arena, Leverkusen won both previous visits by single-goal margins. Heidenheim scored twice in three of their last five home games.

Heidenheim conceded 14 goals between the 30th minute and half-time in recent matches. That timing has been a recurring problem.

Leverkusen have managed just seven away goals after half-time this season. Only one club, St. Pauli, scored fewer in that period.

In ten of Leverkusen’s last twelve matches, the half-time score was not 0-0. Eren Dinkçi has scored against Leverkusen before.

Dinkçi’s last four goals arrived before half-time. Patrik Schick is the matchup’s top scorer with five goals.

None of Schick’s five goals came on the Ostalb.

Predictions and odds

Filmogaz.com assessment gives Leverkusen a clear edge. Estimated win probability for Leverkusen sits around 59%.

The top market quote for that outcome is about 1.60. Draw probability is roughly 22% according to available models.

Our recommended market is a Leverkusen win with both teams scoring. That selection combines Leverkusen’s quality with Heidenheim’s home scoring.

Some bookmakers offer about 2.20 for that double outcome. Odds and lines may change before kickoff.

Key absences and likely lineups

Heidenheim had to substitute Niklas Dorsch recently due to injury. Leverkusen will miss Edmond Tapsoba through suspension.

• Heidenheim (projected): Ramaj; Busch, Mainka, Gimber, Behrens; Kerber, Schöppner, Dorsch; Dinkçi, Zivzivadze, Ibrahimovic.
• Leverkusen (projected): Blaswich; Quansah, Andrich, Oermann; Poku, Hofmann, Palacios, Grimaldo; Terrier, Maza; Schick.

Both teams need points for their season goals. Expect an intense match with clear stakes for each side.