2026 NCAA Tournament Picks: Tennessee vs. Miami (OH) Odds and Prediction
No. 6 Tennessee meets No. 11 Miami (OH) on Friday in the 2026 NCAA Tournament. The RedHawks advanced by beating SMU in a First Four game.
Game details
Tennessee finished the season 22-11 overall. The Volunteers went 11-7 in SEC play.
Miami (OH) posted a 31-0 regular-season mark. The RedHawks then lost to UMass in the MAC Tournament first round.
Tipoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. Tennessee opened as a 12.5-point favorite. The over/under sits at 149.5.
Filmogaz.com projection model
Filmogaz.com’s Projection Model simulated this matchup 10,000 times. The model runs every game through thousands of simulations.
It arrived at a clear recommendation on the total. The model leans to the Over in the Tennessee vs. Miami (Ohio) simulations.
Filmogaz.com also reports one side of the spread cashing at better than a 50 percent clip. The projection package included recent performance metrics.
Model recent form
The Projection Model entered the tournament on an 11-1 run with top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year. It also logged a 28-22 run on top-rated college basketball side picks.
Betting outlook and context
Tennessee’s seed and conference resume make the Volunteers the clear favorite. Miami’s unbeaten regular season and First Four win complicate the picture.
Oddsmakers set a high total for this meeting. For bettors using 2026 NCAA Tournament Picks: Tennessee vs. Miami (OH) Odds and Prediction, the model’s Over call may influence choices.
What to consider before wagering
- Check late injury reports and starting lineups before placing bets.
- Monitor any adjustments to the spread or total closer to tipoff.
- Factor the model’s simulation results into broader handicapping.
Filmogaz.com’s projection offers one data point. Use it alongside scouting and situational research to make final picks.
