Winthrop Basketball favored in Big South showdown at Freedom Hall

Winthrop Basketball, the No. 2 seed in the Big South, faces No. 7 Charleston Southern at Freedom Hall Civic Center on March 6, tipping off at 2: 30 p. m. ET in a game that moves the winner one step closer to an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Game details and schedule

The matchup pits the No. 2 seed Winthrop Eagles (21-10, 13-3 Big South) against the No. 7 seed Charleston Southern Buccaneers (15-16, 6-10 Big South). Tip-off is scheduled for 2: 30 p. m. ET on Friday at Freedom Hall Civic Center, with both teams aiming to advance in the conference tournament.

Winthrop Basketball favored by advanced simulations

A predictive model that ran 10, 000 simulations projects Winthrop as the likely winner, giving the Eagles a 72% chance of victory and a predicted final score of 84-77. The same model places the betting line cover probability even, with each team shown at a 50% chance to cover the spread, and it lists the over/under at 164. 5 points with a 53% probability of the game finishing under that total.

Immediate stakes and what to watch

The loser will see its path to the NCAA Tournament narrow, while the winner advances in the Big South tournament bracket and takes a clearer route to the conference's automatic bid. Watch for how Winthrop’s seed and season record — 21-10 overall and 13-3 in the Big South — carry over into execution on the court and whether Charleston Southern can disrupt that edge.

Tip-off remains scheduled for 2: 30 p. m. ET on March 6 at Freedom Hall Civic Center, the next confirmed event on the schedule for both teams.