Villarreal Vs Valencia: Confirmed line-ups, predictions and five facts for the La Cerámica derby
The latest update for villarreal vs valencia sees both teams named and the match set for Estadio de la Cerámica, with a 3: 00 PM ET kickoff. Villarreal arrive aiming for a Champions League spot while Valencia are focused on avoiding trouble late in the season; confirmed line-ups and model projections give clear early signals ahead of the regional derby.
Villarreal Vs Valencia — confirmed line-ups at La Cerámica
The managers have named their starting XIs and benches for the derby at La Cerámica. Key selections shape how each side will approach the match.
- Villarreal: Luiz Junior; Mouriño, Navarro, Veiga, Cardona; Pepe, Gueye, Comesaña, Moleiro; Ayoze and Mikautadze. Pedraza and Buchanan are listed on the bench.
- Valencia: Dimitrievski; Núñez, Comert, Copete, Gayá; Rioja, Guido Rodríguez, Ugrinic, Ramazani; Sadiq and Juavi Guerra. Guido Rodríguez starts with Pepelu on the bench; Hugo Duro begins as a substitute.
Predictions, odds and kickoff time for villarreal vs valencia
The scheduled kickoff is 3: 00 PM ET at Estadio de la Cerámica. Simulation and model outputs are available for bettors and fans wanting probabilistic context for villarreal vs valencia.
- Win probabilities from the updated model: Villareal 54. 5%, Valencia 22. 1%, Draw 23. 4%.
- Over/under 2. 5 goals: 53% chance of going over.
- Both teams to score (BTTS): 53. 6% chance of Yes.
- The model ran 10, 000 simulations to produce these projections; despite the highest single-match probability favoring Villareal, the model’s top suggested bet for the match is Valencia to win when matching probabilities to implied sportsbook odds.
Five facts and recent context for the derby
Key historical and recent-season points shape expectations for this regional meeting.
- The most recent meeting in the first half of the LaLiga EA SPORTS 25/26 season was played at Mestalla, where the Castellón side took the three points.
- At La Cerámica last season the match ended in a draw, with Sadiq scoring an important late goal in that game.
- Ins and outs after the winter transfer window changed both squads: Valencia signed Sadiq, Guido Rodríguez and Unai Núñez; Villarreal strengthened with Thiago Fernández, Alfon González and Alex Freeman. Several players also departed Villarreal during the window.
- Several players have represented both clubs across their careers, with names listed among those who defended both crests. The all-time top scorer in this fixture is Juan Sánchez with seven goals; Rossi follows with six. Albelda has the most appearances in the fixture with 23 matches.
- Top contributor tallies listed for the clubs show notable performers: for Valencia, Rioja (120 pts), Danjuma (107 pts), Agirrezabala (104 pts), Pepelu (102 pts) and Hugo Duro (89 pts); for Villarreal, Moleiro (159 pts), Luiz Junior (146 pts), Pépé (127 pts), Mikautadze (118 pts) and Buchanan (108 pts).
Practical note: the match coverage is available through each club’s official digital channels and a televised broadcast. Line-ups, in-game developments and the model-driven probabilities above frame early expectations, but match dynamics on the day will determine which narrative prevails.
Recent developments and named squads provide a clear picture heading into the derby; tactical choices around the listed starters and the late-game substitution options highlighted on the benches will be decisive in how this La Cerámica meeting unfolds.
