Carli Judice draws sharp odds, Juliana Miller fumes ahead of UFC Houston
carli judice will meet Juliana Miller on Saturday, Feb. 21, 2026, at the Toyota Center in Houston, and bookmakers have made Judice the heavy favorite as fight week begins. The contrast in form and the betting line has turned the flyweight matchup into one of the most talked-about bouts on the 14-fight card headlined by Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez.
Carli Judice’s recent knockouts have shifted expectations
Judice opened her UFC run with a split-decision loss but rebounded with back-to-back stoppages: a head-kick knockout of Yuneisy Duben and a stoppage of Nicolle Caliari by body shot followed by ground-and-pound. Those finishes are a clear reason oddsmakers favor her in the bout with Miller, and one written prediction in fight-week coverage picked Judice by late-fight KO/TKO, citing her speed and striking as decisive tools.
Miller blasts +600 odds on Instagram
Juliana Miller, the former The Ultimate Fighter Season 30 winner who is 2-2 inside the Octagon, reacted angrily after seeing lines that listed her as a +550 to +600 underdog for the Feb. 21 fight. On Instagram Stories she wrote, “Someone decided to send me a picture of the betting odds in Vegas, +600 underdog? Ya’ll just think I’m going to lay down and let her smoke me, don’t you? F—k you first off. That shit pissed me the f—k off. ” Miller noted that the odds implied only about 2 percent of people believed she had a chance and vowed to prove doubters wrong ahead of the fight at the Toyota Center.
Miller snapped a two-fight skid with a unanimous decision win over Ivana Petrovic in her most recent outing, a result that helped halt a slide and leaves her at 2-2 in the Octagon entering UFC Houston.
Card timing and context for UFC Houston
UFC Houston takes place Saturday, Feb. 21, 2026, at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. The prelims begin at 5: 00 p. m. ET, with the main card slated for 8: 00 p. m. ET. The event’s main event pits former middleweight champion Sean Strickland against Anthony Hernandez, and the rest of the main card includes ranked veterans Geoff Neal, Dan Ige, Serghei Spivac as well as rising names Melquizael Costa, Uros Medic, and Jacobe Smith.
Preview commentary pointing to Judice’s striking edge also noted that both Judice and Miller have only seven professional fights apiece and sit at 2-2 in either the UFC or Dana White’s Contender Series, framing the matchup as one between an ascending knockout artist and a reality-show winner fighting to reestablish momentum.
The flyweight fight between carli judice and Juliana Miller is on the same Feb. 21 docket as the Strickland–Hernandez headliner. Fans in Houston can expect the flyweight bout to play out under the scheduled prelim-to-main-card timeline, with the Toyota Center hosting the night’s 14 fights.
Fight night is confirmed for Saturday, Feb. 21, 2026, at the Toyota Center in Houston, with prelims at 5: 00 p. m. ET and the main card at 8: 00 p. m. ET; Judice vs. Miller will take place on that card as scheduled.
