Top Picks for ATP Australian Open: Alcaraz vs Paul Showdown
The ATP Australian Open is heating up as Carlos Alcaraz faces Tommy Paul in the quarterfinals on January 25, 2026. This matchup features two players with impressive recent performances.
Match Overview: Alcaraz vs Paul
Carlos Alcaraz has had a strong tournament thus far. With a head-to-head record of 5-2 against Paul, he is the favorite. Alcaraz won his opening match against Walton, exhibiting dominance with only one breakpoint against him. He continued this trend into the second round, overcoming Hanfmann after trailing early. In the third round, he easily dispatched Moutet in straight sets.
Despite his impressive form, Alcaraz has yet to progress beyond the quarterfinals at the Australian Open. Last season, he faced a tough defeat against Novak Djokovic in the quarterfinals after four intense sets.
Tommy Paul’s Journey
On the other hand, Tommy Paul has secured victories in four of his last five matches. His week in Melbourne started with an easy straight-set win over Kovacevic, followed by another straight-set victory against Tirante. In the third round, Paul advanced when Davidovich Fokina retired after two sets, which he won convincingly at 6-1.
Paul’s performance has made him the underdog in this encounter. However, he has shown consistency throughout the tournament, winning all his matches without losing a set so far.
Betting Insights
- Alcaraz is heavily favored, but some bookies believe Paul will perform well.
- Paul’s best value bet is +6.5 games handicap at odds of 2.00 with bet365.
- Underlying statistics suggest Paul could keep the match competitive given the quick conditions of the court.
Concluding Thoughts
As fans eagerly await the showdown between Alcaraz and Paul, the match promises to be a thrilling encounter. While Alcaraz boasts a better head-to-head record, Paul’s recent form cannot be underestimated. The stage is set for an exciting quarterfinal at the ATP Australian Open.
