Saint Mary’s vs San Francisco: Expert Picks, Predictions & Betting Odds for Tonight

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Saint Mary’s vs San Francisco: Expert Picks, Predictions & Betting Odds for Tonight

The upcoming NCAA basketball clash pits the Saint Mary’s Gaels against the San Francisco Dons. This matchup is highly anticipated, especially after a close game between the two teams in February, where San Francisco emerged victorious. Historically, the Gaels have dominated this rivalry, boasting an impressive record in their last 11 encounters.

Saint Mary’s vs. San Francisco: Key Matchup Details

Tonight’s game is set for January 13, 2026, at 11:00 p.m. ET, taking place at The Sobrato Center in San Francisco, California. The game will be broadcast on ESPN2.

Team Records and Performance

As the teams prepare to face off, their records reveal contrasting performances.

  • Saint Mary’s Gaels: 15 wins, 2 losses against teams ranked in the Top 250 according to KenPom.
  • San Francisco Dons: 7 wins, 7 losses against the same category.
  • Saint Mary’s currently holds a 7-game winning streak.

Betting Odds and Predictions

The betting line favors the Gaels, who are set as a 6-point favorite (-6) with a moneyline of -275. San Francisco, on the other hand, stands at +225.

Betting Line Saint Mary’s San Francisco
Spread -6 +6
Moneyline -275 +225
Over/Under 140.5 140.5

Player Highlights

Key players for Saint Mary’s include:

  • Paulius Murauskas: Leading the team with 19.6 points and 7.6 rebounds per game.
  • Offensive Strength: The team ranks 33rd in adjusted offense and boasts a 37.4% success rate from three-point range.

For San Francisco, the absence of starting forward Mookie Cook, who averages 10.1 points, will be a significant blow. Cook also leads the team in blocks and ranks second in rebounds.

Game Strategy and Trends

Saint Mary’s is known for its solid defense, and this season, they’ve maintained a strong performance against weaker teams. Their turnovers, however, remain a point of concern. Despite ranking 187th in turnover rate, San Francisco struggles to exploit this weakness, ranking 349th in opponent turnover rate.

The betting trend indicates that the ‘Under’ has hit in 22 of the last 34 games for the Gaels, showcasing their ability to control the game pace and score efficiency.

Conclusion

Expect Saint Mary’s to exert control and secure a convincing win as they aim to reaffirm their dominance in this Western Coast Conference matchup. With strong predictions centered on their offensive and defensive capabilities, the Gaels are poised for success against the Dons tonight.

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