Nick’s Top Gambling Picks for March 29

Mo. Basuony

Published: March 29, 2026 5:27 PM ET

Tiny Nick released a set of short-form betting selections for March 29. The slate mixes NBA and NCAA Tournament recommendations. Each pick includes unit size, odds, and a brief rationale.

NBA Locks and Over Plays

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers — Over 245.5

Nick recommends 0.75 units on the Miami Heat/Indiana Pacers over 245.5. The line is -110 with odds via Caesars. Tip-off is 4:00 PM CT on FanDuel Sports SUN.

The Pacers have been allowing 126.6 points per game since the All-Star break. Indiana has gone 14-5 to the over in that span. Miami is also struggling defensively, surrendering 130.3 points per game during a recent 1-6 skid.

Portland Trail Blazers First Half Team Total — Over 65.5

Nick plays 0.75 units on Portland’s first half team total over 65.5. The selection carries -110 odds via Caesars. The game starts at 5:00 PM CT on MNMT.

Portland has shown strong early-quarter scoring against weak opponents. Washington ranks worst in first-half points allowed. Recent Blazers halves included 69 and 71 points before intermission.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets — Over 238.5

Another 0.75 unit pick targets the Warriors/Nuggets over 238.5. Odds are -110 via FanDuel. The matchup airs at 9:00 PM CT on NBC.

Denver remains an over-prone team despite Aaron Gordon’s return. The Nuggets rank first in season-long overs. Golden State sits near the top in over outcomes and leads the league in three-point attempts.

NCAA Tournament Picks

Tennessee Team Total — Under 69.5

Nick stakes 0.75 units on Tennessee’s team total under 69.5. The play is -110 via Caesars and airs at 1:15 PM CT on CBS.

Michigan presents an elite defensive matchup with size in the paint. Tennessee’s offense has relied heavily on offensive rebounds and interior scoring. The concern is that Michigan can limit those strengths.

UConn +5.5 vs Duke

A 0.5 unit play lands on UConn plus 5.5 versus Duke. The spread is -110 via BetMGM. The game tips at 4:05 PM CT on CBS.

Nick views this as a close Elite Eight tilt between two bluebloods. Historically, 1 vs 2 Elite Eight games have been tightly contested, with a slim SU edge for top seeds. Taking the points with the hook is the numerical play.

Tracker and Context

Tiny Nick’s seven-day tracker sits at 20-9. That record produced +7.20 units over the past week. The public recommendation reads: Tail With Caution.

Method and Labels

Locks are Nick’s most confident wagers.
Degenerates are riskier, entertainment-focused plays.
Degenerates: No degenerates today.

Tiny Nick has been publishing betting selections for Filmogaz.com since 2020. Each day he offers Locks and Degenerates. Odds and units were noted above for reference.