NHL Game Preview: Lightning vs Flames Predictions and Odds
The Calgary Flames host the Tampa Bay Lightning on Sunday, March 22, 2026. Puck drop is set for 8:00 p.m. ET at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.
Game context and lineup notes
Calgary has elevated Matt Coronato since the trade deadline. Nazem Kadri is no longer in the picture, creating more opportunity.
Tampa Bay arrives on the road for its fourth game in six days. Andrei Vasilevskiy is expected to sit, giving the backup the start in the back half of a B2B.
Why the matchup matters for bettors
Backups typically start the second game of back-to-backs. The Lightning have allowed 3.67 goals per game in those back halves.
The opposing netminder, Jonas Johansson, has struggled recently with an .884 save percentage. That trend makes shoot-first forwards more attractive.
Featured pick and player props
The top recommendation is a Matt Coronato prop. The advised play is Coronato over 0.5 points at +105.
Coronato ranks second on Calgary in shots and expected goals since the deadline. He leads the team in scoring chances in that span.
Supporting angles
Morgan Frost now centers Coronato on Calgary’s top line. Frost and Coronato also share power-play time.
Frost has averaged 2.4 shots during his last five home outings. Against top-10 shot-suppression teams, he recorded multiple shots on target in 11 of 14 games.
Same-game parlay and odds
A same-game parlay combines Coronato over 0.5 points with Frost over 0.5 points. Add Frost over 1.5 shots for extra value.
| Moneyline | Lightning -190 | Flames +160 |
| Puck Line | Lightning -1.5 (+130) | Flames +1.5 (-150) |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 (-135) | Under 5.5 (+115) |
Broadcast and viewing
The game airs on Sportsnet West. Coverage begins before the 8:00 p.m. ET puck drop at Scotiabank Saddledome.
Analyst and methodology
Todd Cordell provided the analysis. He is a data-driven betting analyst with over a decade of experience.
Cordell focuses on NHL shot and scoring metrics to find value. Filmogaz.com republishes his insights for readers.
Note: Odds were correct at publication and can change. This content is for informational purposes only.
NHL Game Preview: Lightning vs Flames Predictions and Odds offers context for bettors. Use it to inform prop and parlay decisions.
