YouGov and Roy Morgan Analyze Federal Poll Trends
Recent polling data from YouGov and Roy Morgan reveals significant trends in Australian federal politics. They indicate a tightening race among major political parties and shifting sentiments towards leadership within the Liberal Party.
YouGov Poll Insights
YouGov’s latest poll, part of its Sky News Pulse series, shows One Nation nearing a historic threshold. The party is just two points away from surpassing Labor’s primary vote.
- Labor: 30% (down 1 point)
- One Nation: 28% (up 3 points)
- Coalition: 19% (down 1 point)
- Greens: 12% (unchanged)
This poll, conducted from February 3 to 10, surveyed 1,561 respondents. In a two-party preferred context, Labor leads with 54% compared to 46% for One Nation. This marks a slight decline from the previous fortnight’s figures where the lead was 55%-45%.
Leadership Preferences
The poll also gauged opinions on who should lead the Liberal Party. An alarming 60% of respondents indicated they did not have a preference. The current standings show:
- Andrew Hastie: 15%
- Sussan Ley: 10%
- Angus Taylor: 8%
Personal ratings for key political figures have also shifted. Sussan Ley’s approval rating dropped to 22%, with disapproval rising to 62%. In contrast, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s approval stands at 38%, while disapproval is at 56%. His lead as the preferred Prime Minister has narrowed from 47% to 25%.
Roy Morgan Poll Analysis
- Labor: 28.5% (down 2 points)
- Coalition: 22.5% (up 2 points)
- One Nation: 24.5% (down 0.5 points)
- Greens: 13.5% (up 1 point)
This analysis was conducted over the last week from a sample of 1,584 participants. Based on primary votes, Labor’s two-party lead stands at a narrower 53%-47% compared to earlier statistics of 54.5%-45.5%.
With the 2025 federal election approaching, these polling trends illustrate a dynamic political landscape. Voter sentiment continues to shift, emphasizing the importance of effective leadership and party clarity moving forward.
