New Jersey Special Election Tests Democrats’ Political Machine Influence
The upcoming primary election in New Jersey’s 11th District will evaluate the strength of Democratic machine politics. Occurring this Thursday, voters will select candidates for the seat vacated by Democrat Mikie Sherrill, who was elected governor in November.
Key Details of the New Jersey Special Election
Joe Hathaway, the mayor of Randolph, is running uncontested for the Republican nomination. However, he faces a daunting challenge as the general election approaches in April.
- District Overview: The 11th District encompasses parts of three northern New Jersey counties.
- 2024 Presidential Election: This district supported Kamala Harris by a 9-point margin.
- Governor’s Race: Mikie Sherrill achieved a 15-point victory in the recent race.
Historically, Democrats have excelled in special elections, particularly since President Donald Trump’s return to the White House. This trend suggests that the Democratic primary may ultimately decide the next representative for the district.
Democratic Candidates
A dozen candidates will appear on the Democratic ballot. Despite this multitude, only a few are likely to emerge as serious contenders. The significant county Democratic organizations back different candidates, adding to the intrigue of the race.
- Brendan Gill: The Essex County commissioner has substantial support and experience in local elections. Essex, the largest county in the district, could account for nearly 10% of the primary votes.
- Tom Malinowski: Previously represented New Jersey’s 7th District. Malinowski has gained traction due to his name recognition and appeal among engaged Democrats.
- Tahesha Way and John Bartlett: Both received a joint endorsement from the Passaic County Democratic organization, though the impact remains uncertain.
- Analilia Mejia: A progressive organizer endorsed by Bernie Sanders, she could resonate with the district’s left-leaning voters.
Implications of Machine Politics
The influence of New Jersey’s machine politics is a critical concern in this election. Past practices have seen strong county organizations endorsing candidates, known as “the line.” However, a court decision two years ago weakened these traditional endorsements by changing the ballot design.
As a result, candidates now share the ballot, though county organizations can still highlight their preferred candidates. This primary will serve as an important indicator of the actual influence these political machines retain in the current political landscape.
The outcome of this special election will not only determine the district’s next representative but also offer insights into the evolving dynamics of Democratic politics in New Jersey. The upcoming election is poised to be a significant test of the party’s organizational strength and electoral influence, particularly in this contentious political climate.
